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Dan Cassino
dancassino.bsky.social
did:plc:7bxjvp2yrmnsj2bqb73feblf
A note on generic ballot measures. The generic ballot measures you’re seeing (generally, D+3 or +4 right now) are a biased estimate of vote share in next year’s election. They’re biased because parties don’t run generic candidates: they run actual ones, and that means Dems are likely to do better.
2025-08-10T15:11:36.209Z