Nukes at UNIDIR. Views own, RT/❤️ ≠ endorsementhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3muvs5dqew22wLooking forward to speaking at the Hili Forum tomorrow07 Sep 2026 05:38 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3muvs5dqew22whttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mtgrj43a4s26Russian President Putin commented for the first time on the Ukrainian strike campaign against Russian industry and infrastructure, saying that “such attacks have no critical consequences; they have not had any, and they cannot have any. But, of course, they do cause us harm”19 Aug 2026 12:51 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtgrj43a4s26https://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mtefv72q7s2zI didn’t know Tucker Carlson was anti-nukes: “Nuclear weapons are demonic, there’s no upside to them at all, & anyone who claims otherwise is either ignorant or doing the bidding of the forces that created nuclear technology, which were not human forces obviously” https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/04/tucker-carlson-demon-war-room-podcast18 Aug 2026 14:18 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtefv72q7s2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mrfoaddb7c2dIt was an honor and a pleasure to take part in the Global Nobel Laureates Assembly on Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear War hosted by the @vaticannews.bsky.social It also helped me think through some of the AI-nuclear connections I've been reflecting on for quite some time 1/324 Jul 2026 15:30 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mrfoaddb7c2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mqfek5jy722dMissed this: In June, Russia designated several Harvard entities, including the Harvard Kennedy School and the Belfer Center, as "undesirable organizations," making it a criminal offense for Russian citizens to engage with them [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 Jul 2026 19:11 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqfek5jy722dhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mq7q6gaht22dSo China again sent notifications ahead of its SLBM launch and even sent them to more regional countries than in 2024, including Japan and Papua New Guinea. But while it received quite a bit of recognition for doing so in 2024, that doesn't seem to be the case this time around?09 Jul 2026 13:23 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mq7q6gaht22dhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mpyt3gj2ms2bWhen you went out to listen to some jazz in the park but you are in Switzerland06 Jul 2026 19:27 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpyt3gj2ms2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mp6y6rpqcs22Carnegie Endowment is hiring carnegieendowment.applicantpro.com/jobs/4129694? https://carnegieendowment.applicantpro.com/jobs/412969426 Jun 2026 12:49 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp6y6rpqcs22https://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mnx42iipzs2hA real AI-nuclear (and bio) nexus [contains quote post or other embedded content]10 Jun 2026 16:12 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnx42iipzs2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mnwzhvlcgc2wThat's how you break the deadlock at the Conference on Disarmament10 Jun 2026 15:25 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnwzhvlcgc2whttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mnkr7qwh7c2nI'm old enough to remember when cyber was the next big thing, the cyber-nuclear nexus was the hottest issue in town, and cyber capabilities were the deus ex machina of every wargame... https://www.vox.com/technology/490800/nuclear-ai-escalation05 Jun 2026 18:26 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnkr7qwh7c2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mnkaatm7vs27Tired: IAEA for AI Wired: INF Special Verification Commission for AI [contains quote post or other embedded content]05 Jun 2026 13:22 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnkaatm7vs27https://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mnjz7ivchs22I did not have Anthropic citing Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty as an example for AI regulation on my bingo card05 Jun 2026 11:16 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnjz7ivchs22https://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmwzokkj4k2lDoes anyone here have a WOTR subscription? 🙂28 May 2026 22:04 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmwzokkj4k2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmuhn45tvs2oThis is awesome [contains quote post or other embedded content]27 May 2026 21:36 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmuhn45tvs2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmkgt6uhck2tI recounted this to my wife. She asked whether I had considered that maybe I have been the problem all along and should stop participating in the NPT review process 😂 [contains quote post or other embedded content]23 May 2026 21:54 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmkgt6uhck2thttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmhxbax3yk2sI participated in the NPT review process for the first time in 2013. There has not been a single agreed Final Document since then. When the next RevCon starts in 2031, it will have been 21 years since states parties last reached consensus.22 May 2026 22:11 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmhxbax3yk2shttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmhwa4wuq22sNo consensus on the Final Document of the 2026 NPT RevCon. *sigh*22 May 2026 21:52 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmhwa4wuq22shttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmhd2hlp7s2aAll right, we got ourselves a gap year, folks. NPT RevCon decides to hold the next RevCon in 2031 in New York, with PrepComs in 2028 (Vienna), 2029 (Geneva), and 2030 (New York).22 May 2026 16:09 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmhd2hlp7s2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmh2uhxxy22tA fascinating article by Vasily Kashin, Center Director at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow. The view is becoming more popular in Russia as of late, but we haven't seen it described as prominently in policy and research publications [contains quote post or other embedded content]22 May 2026 13:42 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmh2uhxxy22thttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmgojkjh2c2gThe fifth draft of the NPT final document is even shorter. Gone: paragraphs on nuclear sharing/extended deterrence, DPRK/Korean Peninsula, Zaporizhzhia NPP. Iran compliance paragraph bracketed (no consensus), language on reporting weakened [contains quote post or other embedded content]22 May 2026 10:02 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmgojkjh2c2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmehb34y7s2sThe fourth draft of the NPT final document is significantly shorter: 8 pages instead of 13, with 7 preambular and 45 operative paragraphs instead of 19 and 93. A lot of things are gone. [contains quote post or other embedded content]21 May 2026 12:46 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmehb34y7s2shttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mmceemnkmc2mI really like the Russian-Chinese Joint Declaration on the Emergence of a Multipolar World and International Relations of a New Type adopted today. Just read some of the points 🧵: "All states and their associations are free to choose their foreign partners and models of international cooperation."20 May 2026 16:49 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmceemnkmc2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mm7l5bip222cThe third draft of the NPT final document continues the trend of becoming less controversial and demanding, mostly losing parts of the text, including some added in Rev2. The only increase is on the side of peaceful uses, and some language on attacks against nuclear facilities 🧵19 May 2026 14:12 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mm7l5bip222chttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mm7l3cjqjk2cJust realized that next month Gen. Sergey Karakayev will mark 16 years as commander of Russian Strategic Rocket Forces, a record for both Russia and USSR. This is quite different from most other Russian services/ branches, which have seen significant turnover in recent years19 May 2026 14:11 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mm7l3cjqjk2chttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3ml75kn6llk24Your classical NYC UN photo and - if you are at the NPT RevCon - a reminder to join us for our side event at 13:15 in CR8 on ensuring sustainable progress on risk reduction06 May 2026 16:44 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3ml75kn6llk24https://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mkuz2xyays2rP3 Joint Statement to the NPT RevCon encourages states to adopt concrete risk reduction measures, such as launch notifications and CBMs on nuclear testing and zero-yield. That's it, those are the measures.02 May 2026 15:57 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkuz2xyays2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mknhdtuqjk2mGreat contribution to the field from my colleague Sarah Ruth Opatowski. The compendium maps and analyzes a decade of nuclear risk reduction proposals across the NPT review process, First Committee, and other multilateral forums. Learn more at our side event at the RevCon on May 6, CR8 [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Apr 2026 15:51 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mknhdtuqjk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/baklitskiy.bsky.social/post/3mjyu4bthvs2z"The atomic age is ending. One age of deterrence, the atomic age, is ending, and a new era of deterrence built on A.I. is set to begin" - yeah, I don't think this is true21 Apr 2026 11:14 +0000at://did:plc:2lfbpqvrncdapwzutvcwbffo/app.bsky.feed.post/3mjyu4bthvs2z