Quizzer. Clarinettist. Lancastrian. Andrew's Previews for @britainelects.com https://andrewspreviews.substack.com . Edits the Local Elections Archive Project https://andrewteale.me.uk/leap/https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.ukhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mv3ff6upj42hTomorrow's edition of Andrew's Previews, covering four English by-elections, is now available for paid subscribers: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-four-local-by-elections?r=1vkyfj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true09 Sep 2026 11:06 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mv3ff6upj42hhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muwm4ccaec2wSo, the local government reorganisation is off. What a surprise. I never expected any of it to go ahead, which is why there haven't been any references to it in the Previews.07 Sep 2026 13:23 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muwm4ccaec2whttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mus47oqhus2pThere are only 4 councils left to upload to LEAP from 2025, and my priority is now to finish those off. Update order will probably be N Tyneside Shropshire Doncaster Isles of Scilly [contains quote post or other embedded content]05 Sep 2026 18:27 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mus47oqhus2phttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mus3yqkajs2uLocal Elections Archive Project: Durham 2025 results added www.andrewteale.me.uk/1kw405 Sep 2026 18:24 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mus3yqkajs2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mupvma764k2bLocal Elections Archive Project: Camden 2026 results added www.andrewteale.me.uk/1ld004 Sep 2026 21:24 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mupvma764k2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mupumil27k2iLocal Elections Archive Project: By-election results 3rd September 2026 added www.andrewteale.me.uk/1lsc https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/1lsc04 Sep 2026 21:06 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mupumil27k2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mupriatfm22jLocal Elections Archive Project: By-election results 2nd September 2026 added www.andrewteale.me.uk/1lsb https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/1lsb04 Sep 2026 20:10 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mupriatfm22jhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mupljnizls2xThe preference profile for yesterday's Portobello/Craigmillar by-election in Edinburgh is fascinating. If we simulate a 4-seat ordinary election, then Grn/SNP/Lab all have a quota each but the final seat could go to any of four parties, depending on candidate balancing (most likely Grn though).04 Sep 2026 18:23 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mupljnizls2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muohm3b3gk23In a 4-seat ordinary election the top 3 parties get 1 seat each. The final seat is hard to call (even the Conservatives are not out of it if they get very lucky) and much will depend on which order the parties get eliminated, but the second Grn candidate would start as favourite. [contains quote post or other embedded content]04 Sep 2026 07:41 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muohm3b3gk23https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muohhktoo223In a 4-seat ordinary election Lab and Grn would win 2 seats each. The 2022 result here was Lab/Grn/SNP/LD. [contains quote post or other embedded content]04 Sep 2026 07:38 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muohhktoo223https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muodtx5p6c23EDINBURGH, Portobello/Craigmillar - Grn gain from SNP First prefs: Grn 1781 SNP 1531 Lab 1413 RUK 569 C 522 LD 365 ScFam 73 Workers 58 AllDF 28 Comm 22 Top 3: Grn 1920 Lab 1848 SNP 1681 Final: Grn 2652 Lab 2188 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/ix3s https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/ix3s04 Sep 2026 06:33 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muodtx5p6c23https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muodlid53s23EDINBURGH, Southside/Newington - Lab gain from SNP First prefs: Lab 2153 Grn 1978 SNP 757 C 717 LD 543 RUK 305 EELP (Wilkinson) 78 Ind 63 Comm 46 ScFam 38 AllDF 12 EELP (Emms) 9 EELP (Rowbotham) 7 Final: Lab 3030 Grn 2505 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/iv3s https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/iv3s04 Sep 2026 06:29 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muodlid53s23https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muodcyatjs23OXON CC, Chesterton/Launton - LD hold LD 985 C 683 RUK 547 Lab 75 Grn 71 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/iyxz Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b8 https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/iyxz04 Sep 2026 06:24 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muodcyatjs23https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muod6gisj223Last night's by-election results: Edinburgh, Southside/Newington: Lab gain from SNP Edinburgh, Portobello/Craigmillar: Grn gain from SNP Oxon CC, Chesterton/Launton: LD hold Rhondda Cynon Taf, Llantwit Fardre: C hold Somerset, Frome W: Grn hold Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b804 Sep 2026 06:21 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muod6gisj223https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3munk5gqbsc23RHONDDA CYNON TAF, Llantwit Fardre - C hold C 1043 PC 329 RUK 240 Lab 188 Ind 10 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/imvw Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b8 https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/imvw03 Sep 2026 22:53 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3munk5gqbsc23https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3munjzhkob223SOMERSET, Frome West - Grn hold Grn 663 LD 544 RUK 218 Lab 89 C 87 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/irwx Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b8 https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/irwx03 Sep 2026 22:51 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3munjzhkob223https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3munffrh37223Counting is now under way in today's five by-elections, which are a very varied bunch. Get the lowdown and be ready for the Hot Takes with Andrew's Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b803 Sep 2026 21:29 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3munffrh37223https://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mulwuxh4x22pIt's by-election Thursday! 5 polls today, defences SNP 2 C 1 LD 1 Grn 1 There is truly something for everyone to enjoy in this week's edition of Andrew's Previews: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b803 Sep 2026 07:36 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mulwuxh4x22phttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mukzytcf2s2hSTROUD, Kingswood - LD hold LD 442 C 109 RUK 70 Grn 40 Lab 30 Previous results: www.andrewteale.me.uk/ikgr Preview: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-stroud-council-by https://www.andrewteale.me.uk/ikgr02 Sep 2026 22:59 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mukzytcf2s2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mujs4pub6v2mTomorrow's edition of Andrew's Previews, covering five by-elections in Edinburgh, Oxon, S Wales and Somerset, is now available for paid subscribers: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-five-council-by-elections-7b8?r=1vkyfj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true02 Sep 2026 11:06 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mujs4pub6v2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mujbea74i52wIt's by-election WEDNESDAY! - 1 poll today, a LD defence in rural Gloucestershire - But have the Ordnance Survey got the boundary of this ward right? Andrew's Previews sets out what's going on: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-stroud-council-by?r=1vkyfj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true02 Sep 2026 06:06 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mujbea74i52whttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muj672by6s2rExcellent work here by Ben Walker of @britainelects.com https://britainelects.substack.com/p/catch-up-greater-manchester-mayoral02 Sep 2026 05:09 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muj672by6s2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3muhbnrrnet2oTomorrow's edition of Andrew's Previews, covering a Wednesday by-election in Gloucestershire, is now available for paid subscribers: https://andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing-the-stroud-council-by?r=1vkyfj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true01 Sep 2026 11:06 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3muhbnrrnet2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mueqhsnowc2mThere are two local by-elections coming up in Edinburgh this week. Here are AV simulations of the previous results in those wards, from 2017 and 2022.31 Aug 2026 10:53 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mueqhsnowc2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/andrewteale.me.uk/post/3mucish2mic2lLocal Elections Archive Project: North Northamptonshire 2025 results added www.andrewteale.me.uk/1k3d30 Aug 2026 13:30 +0000at://did:plc:5kcl3kyx6pg3lnpncdf3t2yw/app.bsky.feed.post/3mucish2mic2l