Research Fellow @chathamhouse focusing on the geopolitics of climate change and the energy transition. Views my own. https://www.chathamhouse.org/about-us/our-people/chris-aylett Header: 'A List of Antagonisms', Hiba Abdallahhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mt22t3wnos2s'Marsh names beach to succeed herring' is like a badly translated Norse proverb https://www.theinsurer.com/ti/news/marsh-names-beach-to-succeed-herring-as-uk-ceo-for-energy-and-power-2025-07-16/14 Aug 2026 11:33 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mt22t3wnos2shttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msxyrbv6mc2zIt's somewhat unwise of the Canadian PM to commit large sums of taxpayer money to oil and gas export infrastructure directed at an Asian market that is souring on imports and deploying alternatives at pace Me and Phesheya Nxumalo for @chathamhouse.org https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/08/why-carneys-pipeline-gamble-bad-bet-canadian-taxpayers13 Aug 2026 15:51 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msxyrbv6mc2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msqma7m3kk2oHard agree with all of these proposals but a levy on corporate social media (which lord knows we need less of) to fund local and independent media (which we desperately need more of) is 👌 https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/760061 [contains quote post or other embedded content]10 Aug 2026 17:18 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msqma7m3kk2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msidkjjvjc2wAll over the world, Chinese EVs are structurally reducing the need to burn oil to get from A to B Put this in your Current Policies Scenario pipe and smoke it @iea.org @gavinjmaguire.bsky.social https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/chinas-ev-export-boom-is-starting-show-up-gasoline-market-2026-08-04/07 Aug 2026 10:22 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msidkjjvjc2whttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msi5rfejuc2kGood reality check from @noahjgordon.bsky.social However appealing, the idea that cheap clean tech and self-interest alone will save us from climate change is a fantasy Some necessary emissions-reducing actions simply don't have clear economic co-benefits https://www.ft.com/content/1aec6153-a264-4d04-8a8a-c2500c7a952d07 Aug 2026 08:38 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msi5rfejuc2khttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msdwt4dbfc23this is absolutely brilliant 👏 [contains quote post or other embedded content]05 Aug 2026 16:23 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msdwt4dbfc23https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3msaxsvf2dk2pI think there's every chance Trump will move to restrict US oil exports, if pump prices carry on rising. What sort of America First populist wouldn't? (the answer: one that has also received bucketloads of cash from the oil industry) [contains quote post or other embedded content]04 Aug 2026 12:03 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3msaxsvf2dk2phttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3ms6gwjpk7c22"Measures to increase water efficiency (...) include a credit scheme where developers pay to offset the water increases their housing developments will cause" I encounter a lot of bad ideas in my line of work but this one is a belter https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/02/we-cannot-magic-up-more-water-the-supply-problems-putting-housing-targets-in-england-at-risk03 Aug 2026 11:56 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3ms6gwjpk7c22https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mrnkselxjk24The diminishing returns from North Sea oil and gas will flow to a shrinking subset of firms and workers By contrast, the future of the clean energy system can be one of growth and the distribution of benefits across the country Manchesterism for energy https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/07/why-burnham-should-back-britains-new-clean-energy-system-not-more-north-sea-drilling27 Jul 2026 18:50 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mrnkselxjk24https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqwazkhys227A "dynamic" charge towards the 1970s, before we extracted over 90% of the oil and gas on the UK Continental Shelf And before we had viable alternatives which don't cook the planet [contains quote post or other embedded content]18 Jul 2026 12:23 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqwazkhys227https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqjxhu26b22jTrump reinstates the Carter Doctrine, with added extortion [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Jul 2026 15:00 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjxhu26b22jhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqjk472z6c24'Open' and 'closed' have long since ceased to have any meaning in the context of Hormuz It's entirely a question of the risk appetite of vessel owners - which is surely diminishing by the day, as Iran launches missiles and the US spreads disinformation https://www.dw.com/en/iran-announces-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz/live-7792009713 Jul 2026 11:01 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjk472z6c24https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqhjgs3l222kSuch a good piece Software 'creators' and 'contributors' that use generative AI externalize costs onto the reviewers and maintainers heroically trying to keep critical digital infra from collapsing "AI slop as a tragedy of the commons" Love the Atlas animation too https://www.ft.com/content/cec8df9e-b43b-4cd1-8feb-c07e804e8d33?syn-25a6b1a6=112 Jul 2026 15:44 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqhjgs3l222khttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpqfdyqkjk2hIncredible scenes in Russia - surge in demand for EVs A presumably unintended consequence of the illegal invasion of Ukraine [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Jul 2026 11:00 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpqfdyqkjk2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpq6pcsyvk2aHere's a brutal chart which illustrates why Canada might not want to bank on the sunlit uplands of fossil fuel demand growth in Asia h/t @katemac.bsky.social [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Jul 2026 09:01 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpq6pcsyvk2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpq4ugwals2hCanada's new oil pipeline and five new LNG export terminals are a gamble on future growth in Asian oil and gas demand Given the trauma of the Hormuz shock, and the increasing penetration of demand-destroying EVs, solar and batteries, I'm not sure it'll pay off https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/7/3/canadas-carney-secures-deal-for-pipeline-to-expand-oil-exports-beyond-us03 Jul 2026 08:28 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpq4ugwals2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpoohxc3sc2d1. Russia starts an illegal war in Ukraine 2. Ukraine strikes Russian oil infrastructure 3. Fuel shortages in Russia, prices surge 4. Russians start buying electric cars (only a handful, but notable in a country resolutely opposed to the energy transition) https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russian-fuel-crisis-prompts-rush-electric-cars-2026-07-02/02 Jul 2026 18:38 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpoohxc3sc2d