Research Fellow @chathamhouse focusing on the geopolitics of climate change and the energy transition. Views my own. https://www.chathamhouse.org/about-us/our-people/chris-aylett Header: 'A List of Antagonisms', Hiba Abdallahhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqwazkhys227A "dynamic" charge towards the 1970s, before we extracted over 90% of the oil and gas on the UK Continental Shelf And before we had viable alternatives which don't cook the planet [contains quote post or other embedded content]18 Jul 2026 12:23 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqwazkhys227https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqjxhu26b22jTrump reinstates the Carter Doctrine, with added extortion [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Jul 2026 15:00 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjxhu26b22jhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqjk472z6c24'Open' and 'closed' have long since ceased to have any meaning in the context of Hormuz It's entirely a question of the risk appetite of vessel owners - which is surely diminishing by the day, as Iran launches missiles and the US spreads disinformation https://www.dw.com/en/iran-announces-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz/live-7792009713 Jul 2026 11:01 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjk472z6c24https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mqhjgs3l222kSuch a good piece Software 'creators' and 'contributors' that use generative AI externalize costs onto the reviewers and maintainers heroically trying to keep critical digital infra from collapsing "AI slop as a tragedy of the commons" Love the Atlas animation too https://www.ft.com/content/cec8df9e-b43b-4cd1-8feb-c07e804e8d33?syn-25a6b1a6=112 Jul 2026 15:44 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqhjgs3l222khttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpqfdyqkjk2hIncredible scenes in Russia - surge in demand for EVs A presumably unintended consequence of the illegal invasion of Ukraine [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Jul 2026 11:00 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpqfdyqkjk2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpq6pcsyvk2aHere's a brutal chart which illustrates why Canada might not want to bank on the sunlit uplands of fossil fuel demand growth in Asia h/t @katemac.bsky.social [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Jul 2026 09:01 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpq6pcsyvk2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpq4ugwals2hCanada's new oil pipeline and five new LNG export terminals are a gamble on future growth in Asian oil and gas demand Given the trauma of the Hormuz shock, and the increasing penetration of demand-destroying EVs, solar and batteries, I'm not sure it'll pay off https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/7/3/canadas-carney-secures-deal-for-pipeline-to-expand-oil-exports-beyond-us03 Jul 2026 08:28 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpq4ugwals2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpoohxc3sc2d1. Russia starts an illegal war in Ukraine 2. Ukraine strikes Russian oil infrastructure 3. Fuel shortages in Russia, prices surge 4. Russians start buying electric cars (only a handful, but notable in a country resolutely opposed to the energy transition) https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russian-fuel-crisis-prompts-rush-electric-cars-2026-07-02/02 Jul 2026 18:38 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpoohxc3sc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mplyhjhvbk2rAccording to @thesun.co.uk if the North Sea had been prioritised the UK “might just have the cheapest electricity in the world”. How many people have been misled by this utterly bogus and grotesquely irresponsible claim? Presumably @ipso.co.uk are investigating? [contains quote post or other embedded content]01 Jul 2026 16:58 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mplyhjhvbk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpj5hkprms2bAccording to the Statistical Review, coal generation in the US increased 13% in 2025 So US carbon emissions grew 4 times faster (!) than those of China in 2025 and the US accounted for no less than 40% of growth in carbon emissions last year [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Jun 2026 13:50 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpj5hkprms2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mpioe6eul22dHappy Statistical Review of World Energy day, to all those who celebrate it https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review30 Jun 2026 09:19 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpioe6eul22dhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mp77ofk7rs27Spot on - it's a distraction, elevated to the status of the only thing that matters in UK energy policy, by those who have an political or financial interest in maintaining the myth, or are simply ideologically opposed to the idea that the UK should do anything at all about climate change [contains quote post or other embedded content]26 Jun 2026 15:03 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp77ofk7rs27https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mp6mzw25ak2gAbsolutely mind-boggling stat: "China’s total power capacity reached 4,000 gigawatts in May, reported BJX News, larger than that of the US, EU, India, Russia and Japan combined" [contains quote post or other embedded content]26 Jun 2026 09:29 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp6mzw25ak2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mp6m4qwrak2zYes, fighting climate change inevitably means fewer jobs in sectors that boil the planet But you think oil and gas guarantees jobs? Shell, BP etc are replacing skilled roles with robots and drones https://www.ft.com/content/01a72e2e-8620-44a3-85ce-7aa3b22495b3?syn-25a6b1a6=1 @unitesharon.bsky.social and @gmbgarysmith.bsky.social [contains quote post or other embedded content]26 Jun 2026 09:13 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp6m4qwrak2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mp2qhnb7ws27The @reuters.com overview of the heatwave that is currently brutalizing Europe includes this stark juxtaposition [contains quote post or other embedded content]24 Jun 2026 20:20 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp2qhnb7ws27https://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3moqb3kghuc2uBBC: "Iran says it's closing Strait of Hormuz and accuses US and Israel of violating ceasefire deal" https://static.klipy.com/ii/39f2394ae36df6e199be9eb7c9fa1012/8e/af/4lmj5Fu4.gif?hh=254&ww=280&mp4=5VzRhoMD5L1PDa&webm=QdRynRxGQFif03Y3Rxjn20 Jun 2026 16:18 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3moqb3kghuc2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3moq6fwjkq22fStriking fact from @adriennebuller.bsky.social on the reliably brilliant Politics Theory Other podcast: Each year, a trillion litres of water - 3 billion litres a day - is lost to leakage from the decrepit UK water system [contains quote post or other embedded content]20 Jun 2026 15:30 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3moq6fwjkq22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/chrisaylett.bsky.social/post/3mol4iyp2kc2hThe US and Iran have signed an MOU which envisages 'reopening' the Strait of Hormuz Crisis over? Not for LNG importers like Europe, which will face persistently high prices and a ballooning dependence on the United States https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/06/even-hormuz-reopening-will-not-resolve-europes-key-energy-vulnerability18 Jun 2026 15:13 +0000at://did:plc:6omsofoyibx7xygxuid2jo55/app.bsky.feed.post/3mol4iyp2kc2h