“We are living in an interminable succession of absurdities imposed by the myopic logic of short-term thinking.” —Jacques-Yves Cousteau Retired stage technician turned professional predictor of politics and climate on this pyretic planet. Supak.com https://bsky.app/profile/supak.comhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mzggugbl5k2m@ditzkoff.bsky.social03 Nov 2026 18:12 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzggugbl5k2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3myzzw2i2e225Make it not so. [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Oct 2026 19:48 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3myzzw2i2e225https://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3my5y3lc3wc2pWent so well I thought maybe Tommy was a Democratic plant! #KeepTalkingWingnuts [contains quote post or other embedded content]18 Oct 2026 16:01 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3my5y3lc3wc2phttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mwfh72cick27Happy Stanislav Petrov Day to all who celebrate (and all of you should). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanislav_Petrov https://share.google/GcuYWQl4nWfVyFnfY26 Sep 2026 04:30 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwfh72cick27https://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mtwht2ixr22kDolly had a short-lived show on ABC for a while, which was taped at the ABC Prospect lot in Hollywood, while I was on that lot as an electrician for General Hospital. We were working late one night, so I took a break to run to the commissary before it closed.25 Aug 2026 18:41 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtwht2ixr22khttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3msau6wy4ac2jThese people should be required to put their money where their mouths are in prediction markets where you only get paid if you're right. [contains quote post or other embedded content]04 Aug 2026 10:58 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3msau6wy4ac2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3ms436cw3f22mGood news for Donny Boy! He got to fuck himself.02 Aug 2026 13:20 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3ms436cw3f22mhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3ms42szylfk2mhttps://www.npr.org/2026/08/01/nx-s1-5916418/vincent-pastore-sopranos-obit02 Aug 2026 13:14 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3ms42szylfk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mouyltnmts2bWith notably rare exceptions, Alan Greenspan is alive and well. @himself.bsky.social22 Jun 2026 13:29 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mouyltnmts2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mmashngzx223Minnesotans should be able to hedge climate risk just like Wall Street does. From hurricanes to record heat, from Arctic sea ice extent to Lake Mead water levels, we should all be able to "bet" against climate deniers and do good with money they would've done evil with. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmead/lake-mead-water-levels20 May 2026 01:56 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmashngzx223https://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mma3vbmx7s23Shorter Tim Walz: Wall St can hedge all the risk it wants but you peons have to suck it up and suffer. [contains quote post or other embedded content]19 May 2026 19:12 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mma3vbmx7s23https://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mhyoonv7f22mA lot of that extent was pretty thin mush, too. The market @kalshiofficial.bsky.social will settle at the daily high which was 14.358 on 3/13. Rapid switch to super Nino will likely not be good for the minimum this fall. [contains quote post or other embedded content]26 Mar 2026 22:46 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhyoonv7f22mhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mfkuwt6fqk2yFinally got to see Central Park in the snow.24 Feb 2026 00:11 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mfkuwt6fqk2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mfkuq3haes2yThis is right across...24 Feb 2026 00:07 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mfkuq3haes2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/supak.com/post/3mbtsd3ifk22aGoing to be a lot more this year. Market @kalshiofficial.bsky.social is predicting over 3000 already. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmeasles/measles-cases?referral=1b5ce109-e455-4718-8ac3-4a2d6825a6a9&utm_source=kalshiweb_eventpage [contains quote post or other embedded content]07 Jan 2026 15:37 +0000at://did:plc:aa477eeo7lxrua64j7p6d4w2/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbtsd3ifk22a