The University of Melbourne & Climate Resourcehttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3mmcrhnx4ok2eRCP8.5 was never a prophecy; it was the “burn baby burn” pathway. Renewables got cheap, so RCP8.5 is now implausible. Current policy still points near ~3°C, just a smaller disaster. Hopefully 3°C soon looks as implausible as RCP8.5. Maybe even thx to an orange in charge who drives up fossil prices.20 May 2026 20:44 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmcrhnx4ok2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3lbw3733zhc2xThis bluesky space becomes enjoyable. Just posted my probably last ever 'X'... An entry into the competition for best Tesla bumper stickers, now that he is full throttle for fossil fuels and everything else Trump stands for. LET HIM GO TO MARS.27 Nov 2024 07:55 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbw3733zhc2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3kgb5d6w23q2dCoal is the first one to exit, if we want to put ourselves on track to meet the long-term Paris agreement goals. By 2030 or 2035 at the latest. Other fossil fuels to follow swift. Let's hope that COP28 will have clear wording in the end. Full briefing here: www.climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs11 Dec 2023 09:47 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3kgb5d6w23q2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3kgb55z7tfg23The latest temperature assessments of the NDCs and LT-LEDS pledges by countries - and how they fair against the Paris Agreement temperature goals? Surprise: We are still quite far off 1.5C. Here an overview of all the main studies. See more at: climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs11 Dec 2023 09:44 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3kgb55z7tfg23https://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3kgb54k2zwf2nEntering the 1.5C world, it's time for a fossil fuel exit. Phase-in of renewables is key, but only replaces fossil fuel (emissions), if married with strong energy efficiency and dedicated coal, oil and gas phase-out policies. Full briefing: climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs11 Dec 2023 09:43 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3kgb54k2zwf2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3kfgaasf42u2w'Great success' of small modular reactors: Magnox produces weapons grade plutonium in North Korea. Other plans burn through cash. Relaxing that one doesn't have to argue any more on grounds of risks, waste, nuclear proliferation, etc. Economis sort it out. https://reneweconomy.com.au/small-modular-nuclear-reactors-a-history-of-failure/30 Nov 2023 16:57 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3kfgaasf42u2whttps://bsky.app/profile/meinshausen.bsky.social/post/3kbugpfymnp2kHow can people, who suffered so much, create so much suffering?16 Oct 2023 10:49 +0000at://did:plc:awam5bfjz7jxcprnir55wkh4/app.bsky.feed.post/3kbugpfymnp2k