Using the latest polling data to predict the next General Election :-)https://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3m6b25w6vm22iSorry I haven't made a prediction in a while. Life's been busy but I'll try to do better :-) Reform majority of 42 Ref UK 32.8% (+6.4) Con 18.9% (-5.2) Lab 16.8% (-6) GRN 15.2% (+5.8) LD 14.1% (-1) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/26399503/ #UKPolitics ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-)23 Nov 2025 00:21 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6b25w6vm22ihttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lo4jtxkrck27My final prediction for today's by-election. Still a slight Labour hold, but could go either way01 May 2025 14:36 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lo4jtxkrck27https://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lo4jrby2n227Election Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change 19/03/25 to 01/05/25 Reform UK lead of 2.5% (+0.1) Ref UK 26.4% (-0.4) Con 23.9% (/) Lab 22.9% (-1.5) LD 15.1% (+0.6) GRN 9.4% (+1.1) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/22949988/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-) #Politics #UK01 May 2025 14:34 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lo4jrby2n227https://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lkrqsm3jfc2sWith the upcoming Runcorn & Helsby by-election here's my current prediction. Recent polling in the constituency has shown a small lead for Reform, although I believe Labour are still on track to edge it. However, things could change and their lead is still well within the margin of error (1.9%)20 Mar 2025 03:25 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lkrqsm3jfc2shttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lkqneposqc2sElection Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change 04/03/25 to 19/03/25 Reform UK lead of 2.4% (-1.1) Ref UK 26.8% (-0.8) Lab 24.4% (+0.2) Con 23.9% (+0.4) LD 14.5% (+0.9) GRN 8.3% (-0.5) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/22201085/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-) #Politics #UK19 Mar 2025 16:51 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lkqneposqc2shttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3ljksyngx5k2aElection Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change 16/01/25 to 04/03/25 Reform UK lead of 3.5% Ref UK 27.6% (+4.6) Lab 24.2% (-1.7) Con 23.5% (-3.5) LD 13.6% (/) GRN 8.8% (+0.5) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/21915069/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-)04 Mar 2025 15:50 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3ljksyngx5k2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lfsingmabk2zElection Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change 30/12/24 to 16/01/25 Conservative lead of 1.1% (-1.9) Con 27.0% (-1.0) Lab 25.9% (+0.9) Ref UK 23.0% (+0.1) LD 13.6% (-0.3) GRN 8.3% (+0.2) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/21178246/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-) #Politics #UK15 Jan 2025 19:26 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfsingmabk2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lekjlfsons24Election Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change 26/11/24 to 30/12/24 Conservative lead of 3% (+2) Con 28.0% (-0.9) Lab 25.0% (-2.9) Ref UK 22.9% (+3.5) LD 13.9% (+0.3) GRN 8.1% (+0.2) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/20989868/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-) #Politics #UK30 Dec 2024 21:56 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lekjlfsons24https://bsky.app/profile/ukpollingmaps.bsky.social/post/3lbuwkqoros2rElection Prediction Hung Parliament, Labour largest party Change Election - 26/11/24 Conservative lead of 1% (+11) Con 28.9% (+5.2) Lab 27.9% (-5.8) Ref UK 19.4% (+5.1) LD 13.6% (+1.4) GRN 7.9% (+1.1) https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/20497533/ ^^^^ Interactive seat map :-) #Politics #UK26 Nov 2024 20:59 +0000at://did:plc:bsd3il2mgelqtt752mtozozm/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbuwkqoros2r