Content is focused on: •NFL contract analysis, especially toward the Denver Broncos •Over The Cap contributor •Being the Compensatory Picks Guy™ https://thinair.footballhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzjdoegpko2aJaylen Watson being out for the rest of the season will seal the deal on the Chiefs only getting a 5th round 2027 compensatory pick for going to LA, instead of a possible 4th rounder.04 Nov 2026 21:53 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzjdoegpko2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzj4vuksyy23Jacoby Brissett is due $4.85M remaining in 2026 that the Ravens will take on in salary. Cardinals will have ended up paying him almost $8M more over 8 games than they would have if they didn't renegotiate his contract. 04 Nov 2026 19:52 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzj4vuksyy23https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzg6jobnxn23I'm already preparing myself for next season when the North and West Divisions in both the AFC and NFC will be playing each other plenty, and people will fall into the dark art of saying they'll have a tough strength of schedule based upon last season...03 Nov 2026 15:43 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzg6jobnxn23https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzdt5nrhhh23As draft order starts to get reported more frequently, here's the first regular reminder that some (such as we at OTC), calculate strength of schedule including future opponents. Doing so, that means the Jets currently have the 4th overall pick from Indy, instead of the 5th.02 Nov 2026 17:14 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzdt5nrhhh23https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzdg5rrila2xI like the touch of Mahomes as the Grim Reaper here, because he was seeking to reap the AFC West away likely for good in 2026, and the Broncos said "Not today!".02 Nov 2026 13:21 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzdg5rrila2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzc4qcy7fe2c 02 Nov 2026 01:00 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzc4qcy7fe2chttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzbosroqsk2zThis is going to be an all time stat line for a QB that *won* the game.01 Nov 2026 20:51 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzbosroqsk2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzblaorkms2zSeems like we should be hearing more about Ashton Jeanty as a trade deadline candidate with stat lines like this.01 Nov 2026 19:47 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzblaorkms2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mzbbgr5puu2cPretty cruel that on the one weekend we get an extra hour of time picked up, there's no international game in the morning to leverage that change with.01 Nov 2026 16:52 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mzbbgr5puu2chttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mz7gwwqr6n2dOuch.31 Oct 2026 23:25 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mz7gwwqr6n2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mz7g6buh632aI don't think I've ever seen 60 yard field goals made by each team in a college football game. The kicking improvements in football continue to march on.31 Oct 2026 23:11 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mz7g6buh632ahttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mz2ryjvcmj2mDave Canales passes the down 8 test.30 Oct 2026 02:59 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mz2ryjvcmj2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mz24gk5zk72aAnd I'm glad to see this AFC West division title magnitude quantified by @benbbaldwin here: 29 Oct 2026 20:33 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mz24gk5zk72ahttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myziyep55w23I had the Titans in my mind as a dark horse contender to draft a QB high in 2027, as it doesn't seem like Cam Ward is catching on in the NFL yet. Now they have the draft capital to make such a move if they so choose.29 Oct 2026 14:45 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myziyep55w23https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myzilyiqiw2mWhen's the last time that trading multiple 1st round picks for a non-QB worked out really well for the team that got the player?29 Oct 2026 14:38 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myzilyiqiw2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myuhdih2wc2vFor all the playoff odds projectors out there, I'd really be curious as to how big of a swing the upcoming Chiefs/Broncos game is for the odds of the AFC West title. If feels like KC is going to put the division on lockdown if Denver can't beat them at home.27 Oct 2026 14:33 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myuhdih2wc2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myitrxuidj25I'm seeing lots of talk about teams circling the vultures around the Colts for trading for Jonathan Taylor, but I would think that Quenton Nelson or DeForest Buckner would make more logical trade targets.22 Oct 2026 23:43 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myitrxuidj25https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myctyismhj2cJordan Elliott had been right on the bubble to possibly award the 49ers a very late 7th round 2027 compensatory pick, perhaps the Mr. Irrelevant pick. But if he doesn't accrue any more snaps in 2026, SF might be left with no comp picks at all in the 2027 NFL Draft.20 Oct 2026 14:31 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myctyismhj2chttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myaw5y7hsw2zRomeo Doubs going on IR likely ends any hope of the the Packers getting anything higher than a 5th round 2027 compensatory pick for his signing with the Patriots.19 Oct 2026 20:05 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myaw5y7hsw2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3myaaz4w7tr2tHere is the complete list of unrestricted free agents in 2027 for the Colts, should the interim general manager feel it's time to move on from this season. 19 Oct 2026 13:46 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3myaaz4w7tr2thttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3my62bux7nm24As far as I can tell, the most recent time a defensive player got both an offensive touchdown and an interception in the same game until Travis Hunter did it today was Champ Bailey in 2000. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200012240was.htm18 Oct 2026 16:40 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3my62bux7nm24https://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mxtw5inmmm2pWhenever I start thinking about the trade deadline, my mind always drifts to vested veterans who are on the final season of their contracts. Here's the list of those players who are on the five 0-5 teams:14 Oct 2026 16:00 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mxtw5inmmm2phttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mxplf2h6hr2lJonathon Cooper's trial being on March 2-4 puts a tight window for the Broncos to make a decision on his 2027 roster status. On the 5th day of the 2027 league year, $3 million of his salary vests to fully guaranteed. That'd be March 15. It'd be voided if he's suspended.12 Oct 2026 22:36 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mxplf2h6hr2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mxfy5dql7i2sBrian Schottenheimer passed the down 8 test.09 Oct 2026 02:58 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mxfy5dql7i2shttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mx6g23nm272zI knew that Steve Gleason is a Pearl Jam fan, but I was unaware that Kevin Stefanski shares this with him until Peyton Manning said so. I approve!06 Oct 2026 02:46 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mx6g23nm272zhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mwyikaihls2iI'm going to roughly guess that he needs about 40% of the defensive snaps to stay above the cutoff. He's currently averaging 61.7%. 03 Oct 2026 18:14 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwyikaihls2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mwtxv56fsn2u 01 Oct 2026 23:06 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwtxv56fsn2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mwqjrvfjr42eThen, in 2022, the Broncos did play both the 49ers (Week 3) and Panthers (Week 12). But McCaffrey was traded after Week 6, so he missed the Broncos both of those times--but did get to play against the Chargers, along with the other two AFC West rivals.30 Sep 2026 14:15 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwqjrvfjr42ehttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mwqjnpnlsu2rHis first chance came in 2020, which was unfortunately an injured mess for him, but he did check the Raiders and Chiefs off the list. 30 Sep 2026 14:13 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwqjnpnlsu2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/nickkorte.bsky.social/post/3mwqjmexisu23Here's an odd NFL fact that I've had in my mind for a while about Christian McCaffrey, who grew up in Denver while his dad Ed played for the Broncos: Despite 2026 being his 10th season in the league, the Broncos are the only team he hasn't yet played against, and it isn't close.30 Sep 2026 14:12 +0000at://did:plc:cms3ck7i3fa6usrhojz3mebu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwqjmexisu23