Geo/political risk analyst of Japan, East Asia⎮Public policy Ph.D.⎮ 🇮🇪🇯🇵🇺🇸⎮Washington, D.C.https://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3mi2oihglw22vImportant moment as the yen breaks the symbolic 160 line. Could we see a market intervention by MOF/BOJ in the next hour or two? [contains quote post or other embedded content]27 Mar 2026 17:48 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mi2oihglw22vhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3mg73hwp5j22cJust ordered my copy 📖 [contains quote post or other embedded content]04 Mar 2026 01:01 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mg73hwp5j22chttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3meebc4qcjk2lAstonishing — NHK reporting now that Takaichi’s LDP has already secured 301 seats, their highest ever total in the Lower House. https://news.web.nhk/newsweb/na/na-k1001504648100008 Feb 2026 15:38 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3meebc4qcjk2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3mcs26g7ar22i“not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character.“19 Jan 2026 16:17 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcs26g7ar22ihttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3mcdzitc2rc2eLet’s hope Takaichi’s timing is better when it comes to calling a snap election. [contains quote post or other embedded content]14 Jan 2026 02:28 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcdzitc2rc2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3mc3xo24bmc2aThe snap election speculation in Japan continues to ramp up https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/6828710 Jan 2026 21:34 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mc3xo24bmc2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3ma5ko7sbek2o“Hair-brained scheme” was right there for the taking… 👨‍🦲🐇 [contains quote post or other embedded content]17 Dec 2025 01:56 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3ma5ko7sbek2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3m6rwgj7tjk2wHard rock, soft power. [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Nov 2025 17:30 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6rwgj7tjk2whttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3m2ursp544225The positive case for Japan-South Korea relations under Takaichi (if she manages to become prime minister) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IsavsHA9CQw10 Oct 2025 23:04 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2ursp544225https://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3m2uhia6p3c2vExceptional thread contextualizing today’s political earthquake in Japan #LDP #Komeito #Komexit [contains quote post or other embedded content]10 Oct 2025 19:59 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2uhia6p3c2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3m2rb3ckjj22vIf you missed it yesterday, here’s the link to my discussion with @victordcha.bsky.social and @tobiasharris.bsky.social on the implications of Takaichi’s LDP leadership victory for Japan, East Asia and the US, on @csis.org’s Impossible State. Really enjoyed our chat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n0BVuqXjsac09 Oct 2025 13:27 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2rb3ckjj22vhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3m2mztlvmis2nExcited to be joining this discussion tomorrow with @victordcha.bsky.social and @tobiasharris.bsky.social on CSIS’s Impossible State [contains quote post or other embedded content]07 Oct 2025 21:07 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2mztlvmis2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3lynpelh2lk2eEasy to connect this to recent rumors that Ishiba intends to make a wartime apology statement. It would certainly boost Japan-ROK relations — though the LDP could quickly undo any goodwill generated if they then chose Sanae Takaichi as leader on 4 October. https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/6095212 Sep 2025 16:41 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3lynpelh2lk2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3lykyc27uhc2d11 Sep 2025 14:43 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3lykyc27uhc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3lwywlklfk22uHasn’t she suffered enough? https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93de1y9nl5o22 Aug 2025 17:00 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3lwywlklfk22uhttps://bsky.app/profile/frogjumpsin.bsky.social/post/3ltx2uxsy4c2fAlarm bells will be ringing at LDP HQ after today’s NHK poll: party support down 4 percentage points in a week, 8 in three, the LDP’s lowest NHK number since returning to power in 2012. Ishiba has five campaign days left to turn it around. https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20250714/k10014862701000.html14 Jul 2025 18:55 +0000at://did:plc:ct72ucseshijij4g6s7tklrh/app.bsky.feed.post/3ltx2uxsy4c2f