Co-founder of the public opinion consultancy Deltapoll.https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlvwmwrr4k2aIn Denton and Gorton "Get Starmer Out" was the key slogan of Reform's (unsuccessful) campaign. In Makerfield, however, if you really want to get Starmer out, voting for Burnham is the way to do that. But "Get Starmer Out Sooner" doesn't really strike me as the kind of slogan Labour will go for.15 May 2026 18:11 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlvwmwrr4k2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlvuunzrds2a'How much for broadband and TV?' '£34 a month for the broadband and TV plus £17.99 a month for the telephone line.' 'I don't want the telephone line. Can I get it without?' 'Yes. Certainly.' 'How much is that? Just for broadband and TV?' '£51.99 a month.' 'That's the same price.' 'No it isn't.'15 May 2026 17:40 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlvuunzrds2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mltf6gl2bs2eBoris Johnson stayed as Mayor of London for just over a year after rejoining the House of Commons as a London MP. Does Andy Burnham have to give up being Mayor of Manchester? (Serious question) https://static.klipy.com/ii/4e7bea9f7a3371424e6c16ebc93252fe/38/09/OG7u3FKFJwq6CiaBszh.gif?hh=279&ww=498&mp4=3v4V8gYmNsYkTIbJGB0Z&webm=mK4pqIb9gXcKAEmn14 May 2026 17:54 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mltf6gl2bs2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mltcin5tkc2dWhat a mistake-a to Maker-field?14 May 2026 17:06 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mltcin5tkc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlsnff462226What impact will a change of leader have on the polls? The danger is it will be like a set of inflatables at children's party with a puncture: Any bounce will be very modest and short-lived, leaving some crying in disappointment, while to others the problems were clear from the start.14 May 2026 10:48 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlsnff462226https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlqtya2bx223Ed Davey standing down for Andy Burnham really would be the ultimate political stunt. [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 May 2026 17:41 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlqtya2bx223https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlqtc2old227You can ask survey respondents for their views of Burnham, Rayner and Streeting but the only valid conclusion to draw from the findings is that the average person in the street (and the 50% of people less engaged) do not currently know much about any of them at all.13 May 2026 17:28 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlqtc2old227https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mlnii7f5bc2yThe Keeper (2018) is a perfectly fine film about this, but not nearly as great as it could be, given the real story. And I would say it definitely counts as a war movie @warmovietheatre.com. Plus the film's focus on forgiveness would have (unusually) gone down with my POW grandfather. [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 May 2026 09:37 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlnii7f5bc2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mll5hdrwes2mWhat next for Keir Starmer and the Labour government? I will be discussing the aftermath of last Thursday's elections at an @OVIDHealth event on Thursday morning (8.30 - 10:30) in central London. If you would like to come along you can register here: https://bit.ly/PatientsParliamentPolicy-511 May 2026 11:14 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mll5hdrwes2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mldtiy7htk2tFirst the good name of the FIFA Peace Prize is sullied and now this. https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48701397/fifa-drop-panini-world-cup-deal-fanatics-203108 May 2026 13:28 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mldtiy7htk2thttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mldrnyufb22tRemember today really is World Donkey Day. Please note this is not a party-political comment.08 May 2026 12:55 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mldrnyufb22thttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mld64nd2vk26If you are Labour and losing to Reform AND Greens (plus also SNP, Plaid, Conservative and Lib Dems etc) then a pivot or some other ideological repositioning is not going to solve your problems. Instead you need to focus on delivery and hope that you can turn around perceptions.08 May 2026 07:05 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mld64nd2vk26https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3miwuedp27k2cWhen I was at university we called this "revision". BBC News - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crm1el87p9po Worcester football fan completes 50-hour gaming challenge - BBC News07 Apr 2026 22:48 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3miwuedp27k2chttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mhxvlrol322jThat's politics for you.26 Mar 2026 15:17 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhxvlrol322jhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mft26vtyik24Labour's share of the vote halved in just over 18 months and between them Labour, Lib Dems and Conservatives managed only 29.1% in Gorton and Denton. By-elections are unusual in many ways, but that is a terrible performance from the three parties who have been in government in anyone's lifetime.27 Feb 2026 06:06 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mft26vtyik24https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mf7hapdq7s2sHas Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor been treated fairly? Before today's announcement, fewer than one in six British adults believed so. Two thirds believed he had been treated too softly, including half of British adults who believe he has been treated far too softly. #RoyalFamily #Epstein19 Feb 2026 11:06 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mf7hapdq7s2shttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3meo56xhabs2aAs the saying goes. [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 Feb 2026 13:51 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3meo56xhabs2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mdxsnn2cnk2gBBC Election Night programmes are particularly good for finding these people and using them as vox pops on screen. 2015 had the voter in who had voted Lib Dem in 2010 but could never support them again because they went into coalition with the Conservatives. In 2015 he voted Conservative. [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Feb 2026 16:44 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdxsnn2cnk2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mdaoiaawxk2hWhat polling on leadership rivals tends to measure is public opinion on who they are NOT rather than who they ARE. I will be on Times Radio at 2.30pm to discuss this and a roundup of the rest of the polls with @alexisconran.com.25 Jan 2026 11:58 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdaoiaawxk2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mcww3kabgc2fThis me be a hot take, but it feels like a whole lot of attention is paid to what Trump is saying today, all predicated on the assumption that it will, in ANY way, have an impact on what he says and does tomorrow or the day after or at any stage in the future.21 Jan 2026 14:48 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcww3kabgc2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mcwpanskbc24I think there is a really interesting (to me at least) thought experiment about how far you would go if you were Reform/Farage when it cames to accepting defectors into the fold. Truss is apparently out, but what about Johnson? Or May? Or Cameron? Or Cummings? (Endorsements quite separate of course) [contains quote post or other embedded content]21 Jan 2026 12:45 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcwpanskbc24https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mcjxoe2jzs2mNearly three quarters of British adults oppose the US using military action to take Greenland. If it happens, nearly three in ten think troops should be sent to defend Greenland. One in twenty thinks they should be sent to help the US. Half think Britain should not send troops.16 Jan 2026 11:11 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcjxoe2jzs2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mbyboi7n722mCompletely gratuitous female softcore nudity in mainstream Hollywood films. As discussed at length this week on @warmovietheatre.bsky.social, with reference to Under Siege (and Cannibal Women in the Avocado Jungle of Death). [contains quote post or other embedded content]09 Jan 2026 10:23 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbyboi7n722mhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3mbvymcm25c2yAs the only person Rob and Duncan know who has seen both "Under Siege" and it's spiritual successor "Chasers", I was invited back on the War Movie Theatre podcast to discuss why I think the former is a remake of Pretty Woman for teenage boys. Wherever you get your podcasts.... [contains quote post or other embedded content]08 Jan 2026 12:35 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbvymcm25c2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3m7ste3y63s2vMembership numbers are vanity. Voting numbers are sanity.12 Dec 2025 19:32 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m7ste3y63s2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3m7cw3gg6uk25Despite the party's continued strong performance in the polls, I am still surprised Reform have chosen Muswell Hill as the location for their new pilates studio.06 Dec 2025 11:39 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m7cw3gg6uk25https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3m6jvwhx6m225Though the Budget always has the potential to be a turning point in public opinion, they rarely are. If, however, the main story this year turns out to be the leaks that may speak to the competence of the government and add to their difficulty.26 Nov 2025 12:59 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6jvwhx6m225https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3m6jtopauak25Is it FINALLY time to replace the Budget speech with a press release that coincides with the markers opening? Stand outside 11 Downing Street holding the press release printed on red paper if you have to.26 Nov 2025 12:19 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6jtopauak25https://bsky.app/profile/joetwyman.bsky.social/post/3m4n3cydca22xYour regular reminder that a significant change in power is not necessarily the same as a significant change in public opinion. [contains quote post or other embedded content]02 Nov 2025 08:23 +0000at://did:plc:f6jlwp6qfdrsdkjsibrddhwf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m4n3cydca22x