Deeply researched interviews This is an automated Substack Account of https://www.dwarkesh.com Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyzhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyzhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mknsmad5zc2nReiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served • It's shocking how much you can deduce about what the labs are doing from a handful of equations and a blackboard https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/reiner-pope29 Apr 2026 17:07 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mknsmad5zc2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mkihmr76722nWhat I've been thinking about this weekend - More open questions, intelligence vs power, the problem of verification in science, the parallel discovery of Darwinism • Hodge podge of things I was thinking about this weekend. https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/what-ive-been-thinking-april-2727 Apr 2026 13:51 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkihmr76722nhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mkbacmsoqs2nBlog prize for the big questions about AI • The not-so-secret point of this whole contest is so that I can hire a research collaborator https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/blog-prize24 Apr 2026 16:37 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkbacmsoqs2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mjkm3qm53c2xJensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat • “If our next several years are a trillion dollars in scale, we have the supply chain to do it" https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/jensen-huang15 Apr 2026 15:45 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mjkm3qm53c2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3miwie6vkxs2xMichael Nielsen – How science actually progresses • The true story of Einstein, Newton, and Darwin https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/michael-nielsen07 Apr 2026 15:49 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3miwie6vkxs2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mhpv5iprdc2xDylan Patel — Deep dive on the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute • Plus, why an H100 is worth more today than 3 years ago https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dylan-patel13 Mar 2026 16:00 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhpv5iprdc2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mgsvpxppms2rI’m glad the Anthropic fight is happening now • “Preface to the highest stakes negotiations in history.” https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dow-anthropic11 Mar 2026 18:55 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgsvpxppms2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mgfzdbkhyk2rHow cosplaying Ancient Rome led to the scientific revolution • Ambassador visiting Renaissance Florence: “Where am I? None of this has existed for a thousand years." https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ada-palmer06 Mar 2026 17:14 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgfzdbkhyk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mer7hrred22rDario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential" • "That's why I'm sending this message of urgency" https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dario-amodei-213 Feb 2026 16:46 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mer7hrred22rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3me53ujzavs2rNotes on Space GPUs • Turning my Elon prep into a blog post https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-on-space-gpus05 Feb 2026 18:26 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3me53ujzavs2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3me53ukcvis2rElon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space” • “Those who live in software land are about to have a hard lesson in hardware.” https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk05 Feb 2026 16:45 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3me53ukcvis2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mchy462o3c2rHiring scouts to help me find guests • $100/hour, fully remote. Ideal candidate is maybe a grad student/post doc/or working in one of: bio, history, econ, math/physics, AI/hardware. https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/hiring-scouts-to-help-me-find-guests15 Jan 2026 16:02 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mchy462o3c2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mc3ztok5ms2rWhat I've been reading recently - Jan 10, 2026 • Nonlinear dynamics and Chaos, Machines of Loving Grace, Max Hodak’s theory of consciousness, Neural network training makes beautiful fractals https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-jan-10-202610 Jan 2026 20:30 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mc3ztok5ms2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mbaem4ubic2rAdam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain • The brain's secret sauce is its reward functions, not its architecture. https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/adam-marblestone30 Dec 2025 17:07 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbaem4ubic2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3mb5k3ptrgk2rCapital in the 22nd Century • Piketty was wrong about the past. He’s probably right about the future. https://substack.com/home/post/p-18288799329 Dec 2025 18:45 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3mb5k3ptrgk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3maorj6gf7c2rAn audio version of my blog post, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-2025-video23 Dec 2025 20:24 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3maorj6gf7c2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3maefgpk6ek2rSarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War • Oil crisis, Sino-Soviet split, ethnic rebellions, and arms build-up https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sarah-paine-cold-war19 Dec 2025 17:41 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3maefgpk6ek2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m7dzj7akds2rThoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) • Why I'm moderately bearish in the short term, and explosively bullish in the long term https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-202502 Dec 2025 21:39 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m7dzj7akds2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m6x55kbspk2rPodcast Strategy Doc (December 2025) https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dec-strategy-doc01 Dec 2025 18:35 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6x55kbspk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m6i2gxyros2rIlya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research • “These models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. It's a very fundamental thing.” https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutskever-225 Nov 2025 17:04 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6i2gxyros2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkcyfras2fRL is even more information inefficient than you thought • And implications for RLVR progress https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/bits-per-sample17 Nov 2025 16:54 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkcyfras2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkcytesc2fSatya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI • Plus a tour of Fairwater 2, the most powerful AI datacenter in the world https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/satya-nadella-212 Nov 2025 17:03 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkcytesc2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkcz76q22fSarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise • Plus, where Russia and China go from here https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sarah-paine-russo-chinese31 Oct 2025 15:01 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkcz76q22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkczhbjc2fThoughts on the AI buildout • Fab CapEx overhang, 1 GW a week, China privileged in long timelines, and much else https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-the-ai-buildout22 Oct 2025 17:58 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkczhbjc2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkczt3h22fAndrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away • "The problems are tractable, but they're still difficult” https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/andrej-karpathy17 Oct 2025 16:54 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkczt3h22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkd2dcy22fNick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable • Life is continuous with Earth’s geochemistry https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/nick-lane10 Oct 2025 15:29 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkd2dcy22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkd2r4f22fSome thoughts on the Sutton interview • I have a much better understanding of Sutton’s vision now https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton04 Oct 2025 17:45 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkd2r4f22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkd2xx522fOn The Vital Question by Nick Lane • Life is continuous with Earth's geochemistry?? https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/the-vital-question01 Oct 2025 14:03 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkd2xx522fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkdalp3k2fFully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine • Plus, how VLA models work, self-improvement from deployment, and China’s hardware advantage https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sergey-levine12 Sep 2025 15:03 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkdalp3k2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dwarkesh.skystack.xyz/post/3m5vkdc2uu22fHow Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine • “The only thing that really frightened me during the war was the U-boat peril” – Winston Churchill https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sarah-paine-ww205 Sep 2025 15:05 +0000at://did:plc:fu6cadtgn5kyp2de33uneekf/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5vkdc2uu22f