Statistician at Swansea University Medical School. https://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mtdtne5ap22pReally excellent post about Jason Arday, capturing what the vast majority of commentary on the subject is lacking - subtlety. archive.is/nDPFC [contains quote post or other embedded content]18 Aug 2026 08:52 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtdtne5ap22phttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mtbo73gok22yJason Arday's death was terribly sad and utterly unnecessary. No one comes out of this well. https://jim-rafferty.github.io/2026/08/15/Jason-Arday.-Everyone-sucks-here.html17 Aug 2026 12:09 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtbo73gok22yhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mp32bk5ppk2mStill 0%. It's this kind of consistency should be promoted as an essential skill. [contains quote post or other embedded content]24 Jun 2026 23:16 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mp32bk5ppk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mo672pfs7c2eI'd imagine that asking anyone what the world needs at this point would not elicit "a trillionaire" as an answer...13 Jun 2026 11:54 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mo672pfs7c2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mignfnspu22cPetition to make this default @lichess.org !01 Apr 2026 12:01 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mignfnspu22chttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3mg3kshzqes23New preprint: arxiv.org/abs/2602.24038 Fitting Bayesian models using variational inference in population scale data to do disease clustering conditioned on covariates and an outcome. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.2403802 Mar 2026 15:25 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3mg3kshzqes23https://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3madm6bbi6222Tells you all you need to know about British culture how many of these refer to being drunk or hungover! 🍻Also tea! [contains quote post or other embedded content]19 Dec 2025 11:39 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3madm6bbi6222https://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3m73qpttqts2iIt it just me or is microsoft getting more aggressive with it's attempts to autocorrect writing? I really did mean "EHR" damnit!03 Dec 2025 15:14 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3m73qpttqts2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3m6othin7xk23For the first time, after many years of trying, I have successfully written down the word "Zienkiewicz," and correctly spelled it at the first attempt without googling!28 Nov 2025 11:59 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6othin7xk23https://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3m5jz7heje22aSeveral PhD studentship opportunities now open in Swansea medical school! https://www.swansea.ac.uk/postgraduate/scholarships/research/medical-and-health-care-studies-st-davids-medical-foundation-phd-rs907.php13 Nov 2025 20:33 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5jz7heje22ahttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3m4sy7jqbhk2sNominative determinism: A statistician named Anova added me on linkedin!04 Nov 2025 16:44 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3m4sy7jqbhk2shttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3m2losuffn22xhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxt4HCjd7VA 👏👏👏07 Oct 2025 08:17 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2losuffn22xhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lxjs22iq6s2bWell, that sucks... [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Aug 2025 09:53 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxjs22iq6s2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lxc3vwq3bs2lDays since Nigel Farage's face wan't on the BBC news website counter reset26 Aug 2025 08:29 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxc3vwq3bs2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lvvjxef66s2y🚨🚨 Opportunity to come and work with us! We're looking to recruit a data scientist / statistician to apply complex models to understand adverse medicine reactions in people taking multiple medicines. Would suit someone with a background in a mathematical discipline. https://www.swansea.ac.uk/jobs-at-swansea/current-vacancies/details/?opening-id=1087408 Aug 2025 15:10 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lvvjxef66s2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lv6slje3es2wThis policy is such a no-brainer, with the commitments the government has made to reach net zero. Why on earth it hasn't be done already is anyones guess! [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Jul 2025 14:14 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lv6slje3es2whttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3ltoyofhods2c"... don’t go by reports, by legends, by traditions, by scripture, by logical conjecture, by inference, [...], by probability" It's fair to say the Buddha was not a fan of statisticians...11 Jul 2025 13:55 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3ltoyofhods2chttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lt7i6cp7vc2lIt's a sad fact that the more people talk or write, the more likely they are to say something stupid. This is especially true of people that I respect.05 Jul 2025 09:49 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lt7i6cp7vc2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lrgbwpcbps2jI have successfully maintained my 0% success rate at funding applications! 🥳12 Jun 2025 15:56 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrgbwpcbps2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lrdr4zp2ck2wWhy are statisticians so bad at naming things?! How can it be possible to adjust for multiple variables in a univariate joint model? 🤯11 Jun 2025 15:50 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrdr4zp2ck2whttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lqot2c7w4k2hThere's just under a week left to apply for this opportunity - the deadline is the 9th June! [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Jun 2025 07:58 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lqot2c7w4k2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lqkxczplkk2fWho had "the french will be football hooligans," on their 2025 bingo card?01 Jun 2025 19:04 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lqkxczplkk2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/jimrafferty.bsky.social/post/3lptxwuucn22rPhD scholarship opportunity! Come and work at @popdatascisu.bsky.social with me and Prof Rhiannon Owen developing ways to analyse time series data at a population scale. https://www.swansea.ac.uk/postgraduate/scholarships/research/medical-mrc-nihr-phd--rs833.php23 May 2025 15:44 +0000at://did:plc:gdwp7ojxwol7uk72ht34srki/app.bsky.feed.post/3lptxwuucn22r