International Relations Author, Scholar, & Consultant Founder of Palisade: https://palisadeintelligence.com/https://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mw4g2x5fsc2pSharing my appearance on "Decode with Zunaira Azhar" on Express 24/7, where we touched upon the situation in the Middle East. https://youtu.be/LJfxEW7wDis?si=OJ7c2y0S3emDzbz922 Sep 2026 14:16 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mw4g2x5fsc2phttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mvrmviwrfk2vHow has realism treated nationalism so far? This article reviews the realist literature on nationalism, with its tensions and gaps, before suggesting what a neorealist theory of nationalism would look like. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/nana.7011618 Sep 2026 07:19 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mvrmviwrfk2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mvlys3ghzc2cSouth Korea’s nuclear debate is about more than North Korea and doubts about US protection. In this article, I argue that China’s rise, demographic decline, and multipolarity will push Seoul to consider nuclear weapons even with stronger US reassurances. https://www.inss.re.kr/en/publications/bbs/joeaa_en_view.do?nttId=4103802916 Sep 2026 01:35 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mvlys3ghzc2chttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mv7gkziwkk2x📣 Appel à candidatures — Grand Prix Jeunes Talents Français de Corée 2026 Vous êtes français, avez moins de 35 ans et vivez en Corée du Sud ? Candidatez et partagez autour de vous !11 Sep 2026 01:37 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mv7gkziwkk2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mtq4hs3nmk2q"A short exercise in uchronia. After the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia becomes a model liberal democracy. [...] On February 24, Russian forces finally invade. [...] After a few days of ferocious combat, Kyiv falls." Read more: https://dylanmotin.substack.com/p/democratization-should-not-be-great23 Aug 2026 06:01 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtq4hs3nmk2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3msx2qwymzc2fShould great power competition with China and Russia aim to turn them into democracies? Democracy is unlikely to make Moscow or Beijing more friendly, but it might make them more powerful. That’s an issue anyone pondering the endgame of competition should take seriously.13 Aug 2026 06:54 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3msx2qwymzc2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3msfgra7lac2mWhen you are starting out in risk consulting, some of the hardest decisions have little to do with the analysis itself: when to deliver, when to turn down a project, and how to price your time. I wrote down three rules I wish more junior consultants learned early.06 Aug 2026 06:41 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3msfgra7lac2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mrzdscs3dc26Three rules I would give new political-risk consultants: 1. Don’t rush 2. Don’t overreach 3. Don’t underprice The analysis itself is only part of consulting. You also need to manage delivery, expertise, and pricing. 1/501 Aug 2026 11:16 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mrzdscs3dc26https://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mpkvrrfsrs2zMa recension de l'ouvrage de Cheong Seong-chang, « La face cachée de Kim Jong-un ». https://cqegheiulaval.com/2026/06/29/recension-cheong-seong-chang-2026-la-face-cachee-de-kim-jong-un-politique-et-strategie-du-dirigeant-nord-coreen/01 Jul 2026 06:38 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mpkvrrfsrs2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3moig2lqmqk2oA recent review (in French) of my Bandwagoning in International Relations ↓ https://www.jeunes-ihedn.org/2026/les-cahiers-du-comite-asie-pacifique-n24-la-guerre-hors-limites/17 Jun 2026 13:26 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3moig2lqmqk2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mnswz4q2ds2iPleased to be quoted in La Croix on Xi Jinping’s visit to North Korea ⬇️ https://www.la-croix.com/international/coree-du-nord-kim-jong-un-accueille-un-xi-jinping-en-quete-d-influence-2026060709 Jun 2026 00:31 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mnswz4q2ds2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mn7lkwzfps2u🚨 Conference alert 🚨 KISA’s 18th Annual Convention will take place in Seoul on 30 Oct. 2026. Theme: “Diplomatic and Security Challenges in an Era of Shocks to the Global System.” Send 150-word paper proposals + 100-word bios to info@kisa-global.org by 1 Aug. Details: kisa-global.org/events/ https://kisa-global.org/events/01 Jun 2026 07:45 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mn7lkwzfps2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mmtanchvuc24🏆 Prix Jeunes Français de Corée - Culture et Société Vous êtes français, résidez en Corée du Sud, avez moins de 35 ans et êtes actif dans le domaine culturel ou social ? Participez à notre Prix Culture et Société ! 🔗 Retrouvez le règlement complet : https://www.atelierdescahiers.com/prix-culture-et-socieacuteteacute.html27 May 2026 09:58 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmtanchvuc24https://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mmh3i4bos22nI was on KBS World recently to discuss the upcoming regional elections regarding the provinces of Gangwon and Chungcheong. Check the Wednesday, May 20, show if you want to know more. https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/program_listenagain.htm?lang=e&procode=korea_2422 May 2026 13:53 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmh3i4bos22nhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3ml63u7axjk23A small detour from my usual international relations stuff: if you’re into Korean studies, check out our chapter with Yeowon Yoon in 'From Koreanness to K-ness: Contemporary Korean Culture and Society,' made possible by Seryun Lee’s great editing. 🔗 https://www.routledge.com/From-Koreanness-to-K-ness-Contemporary-Korean-Culture-and-Society/Lee/p/book/978104101537606 May 2026 06:41 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3ml63u7axjk23https://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mit26bstl22shttps://youtube.com/watch?v=OdEe026uRbU06 Apr 2026 10:21 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mit26bstl22shttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3milbkr3hck2l🇬🇧 I was on Arirang TV earlier today to discuss President Macron’s visit to South Korea. Links below! 🇫🇷 J’étais sur Arirang TV ce matin pour discuter de la visite du président Macron en Corée du Sud. Liens ci-dessous ! 🔗 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ddCpUvKoxbk 🔗 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8jcPZvGv0E03 Apr 2026 08:12 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3milbkr3hck2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mii3ky24e22mI contributed to Korean Nuclear Security, vol. 3, where I analyzed the French nuclear program and its lessons for South Korea. If you want a comprehensive work on military nuclear programs worldwide in Korean, don’t hesitate to check the book out! 🔗 https://product.kyobobook.co.kr/detail/S00021952329802 Apr 2026 01:47 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mii3ky24e22mhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mgzqljz3r22hNew article out! Realism is often dismissed as too Eurocentric to explain global history. But looking at the 17th-century Haudenosaunee (aka the Iroquois Confederacy), I show that their response to European expansion closely fits neorealist expectations. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09636412.2026.261788514 Mar 2026 15:28 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgzqljz3r22hhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mdexr2ol6c2tOur new report explores maritime MRO as a pillar of the South Korea-U.S. alliance's resilience amid China’s maritime expansion and a shifting U.S. global posture. https://www.kndu.ac.kr/rinsa/bbs/data/list.do?menu_idx=89327 Jan 2026 04:55 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdexr2ol6c2thttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mcaagdiudc2kAvailable at all good booksellers. [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 Jan 2026 14:21 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcaagdiudc2khttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3mbnylxhd2c2dI’ll never stop being amazed by all those who, in 2026, despite millennia of great power politics and decades of international relations scholarship behind us, are still surprised when great powers disrespect their preferred international norms of good behavior.05 Jan 2026 08:13 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbnylxhd2c2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3m766yz5kbs2fThe uncertain future of the Russian Navy https://www.meer.com/en/95283-the-uncertain-future-of-the-russian-navy04 Dec 2025 14:35 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m766yz5kbs2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3m6y4xszbcs2rIn this piece, I argue that although South Korea is facing an existential threat from Beijing, the growing temptation to target everyday Chinese citizens is a dead end. Far more productive ways to counter China exist. https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/why-xenophobia-won-t-solve-south-korea-s-china-problem02 Dec 2025 04:43 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6y4xszbcs2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3m5xa5iuays2rYou can find a summary of my recent "How Louis XIV Survived His Hegemonic Bid" here ⬇️ https://www.meer.com/en/93877-what-louis-xiv-can-teach-todays-policymakers19 Nov 2025 02:42 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5xa5iuays2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/dylanmotin.bsky.social/post/3m5au4murpk2q📘 Pleased to share that Asian Affairs has recently published a thoughtful review of my book, Territorial Expansion and Great Power Behavior During the Cold War: A Theory of Armed Emergence (Routledge, 2025). 🔗 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/03068374.2025.2560985 📖 More about the book: https://www.amazon.com/Territorial-Expansion-Routledge-International-Relations/dp/1041029683/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_010 Nov 2025 05:08 +0000at://did:plc:hqzu2abldd7i4pplxqsbe4kh/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5au4murpk2q