political scientist • assistant professor at the Geneva Graduate Institute (IHEID) • PhD Stanford • governance and elections in the Middle East 📍 geneva • beirut 🔗 christianaparreira.comhttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.social/post/3mlq7kloz7s2hA recent @foreignpolicy.com article uses survey research to argue just under half of Lebanese oppose disarmament. Some thoughts on why this study, and similar survey research, should be extremely explicit about methodology & cautious in interpretation:13 May 2026 11:35 +0000at://did:plc:iecomdflxpkbs5cvetbewjas/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlq7kloz7s2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.social/post/3lqmqvxamzc2dLast month, Lebanon held its first local elections since 2016. Over the past nine years, the country has experienced a series of upheavals and crises - yet the most remarkable feature of these elections was (mostly) how much they resembled previous ones. Some key takeaways /102 Jun 2025 12:15 +0000at://did:plc:iecomdflxpkbs5cvetbewjas/app.bsky.feed.post/3lqmqvxamzc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.social/post/3lp7xbtcn7k2sHow does demand for clientelism vary by socioeconomic status? In our paper just out at @thejop.bsky.social, my co-authors Melani Cammett, Sami Atallah, and I use a survey experiment in Lebanon to question some assumptions about who demands clientelism. /1 https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.1086/73296715 May 2025 16:39 +0000at://did:plc:iecomdflxpkbs5cvetbewjas/app.bsky.feed.post/3lp7xbtcn7k2shttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.social/post/3lp7v4mw7z22bFor any Stanford folks - @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social is hosting a talk tomorrow at 2 pm on governance challenges in the Middle East and related emerging research. I’ll be participating, along with several other friends and colleagues - join if you can! https://cddrl.fsi.stanford.edu/events/roundtable-governance-arab-world-new-research-agendas15 May 2025 16:00 +0000at://did:plc:iecomdflxpkbs5cvetbewjas/app.bsky.feed.post/3lp7v4mw7z22bhttps://bsky.app/profile/cmparreira.bsky.social/post/3ke5jtofhrs24A great piece from @separkinson.bsky.social on analogies between the ongoing war in Gaza and the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon - highlighting the folly of believing that disproportionate use of violence can constitute a meaningful "solution" to conflict: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/ghosts-lebanon14 Nov 2023 12:30 +0000at://did:plc:iecomdflxpkbs5cvetbewjas/app.bsky.feed.post/3ke5jtofhrs24