Macro Strategist at Bloomberg. Ex-diplomat, ex-tech exec, ex-banker. Author of The Everything Risk newsletter. Opinions my own. https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AVSVN7p8ryM/edward-harrisonhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3ml44fwa2ek2u"Just three weeks ago, Mr. Trump said Iran had agreed to all of his demands and he suggested a breakthrough was near. Iran would work with the United States to remove its enriched uranium... None of that happened." https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/03/us/politics/trump-unpopular-war-iran.html https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/03/us/politics/trump-unpopular-war-iran.html?searchResultPosition=105 May 2026 11:46 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ml44fwa2ek2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkrw625f6s27The US Is Showing Iran Why It Needs a Nuclear Weapon https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-05-01/iran-war-how-trump-s-policies-are-strengthening-tehran-s-nuclear-ambitions?srnd=homepage-canada01 May 2026 10:27 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkrw625f6s27https://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkqfap4icc2aHere’s Trump confirming that he does take bold bets when the stock market rise gives him cover to do so [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Apr 2026 19:52 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkqfap4icc2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkqesiuc3s2aTrump sons take stake in Kazakh miner that won $1.6bn US contract https://www.ft.com/content/d99f6f75-931a-42e5-9111-0dc0acc4368c https://www.ft.com/content/d99f6f75-931a-42e5-9111-0dc0acc4368c?shareType=nongift30 Apr 2026 19:44 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkqesiuc3s2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkpv7f5ivc2rGas prices continue to climb [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Apr 2026 15:05 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkpv7f5ivc2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkpex44lgc2gClearly I was way too optimistic about Trump. He is now dug in on a strategy of outlasting Iran as oil prices spiral. Brent is now over$120 a barrel [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Apr 2026 10:14 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkpex44lgc2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkkqc5izd22zSounds like Trump is about to do a deal to open the Strait of Hormuz and leave the nuclear issues for later.28 Apr 2026 13:54 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkkqc5izd22zhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkjkiroq522bSurprise! Your tax dollars at work [contains quote post or other embedded content]28 Apr 2026 02:37 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkjkiroq522bhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkivub5nlk2c😂27 Apr 2026 20:28 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkivub5nlk2chttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkivish7n22cEvery leader with strategic thinking would diversify away from dependence on the US [contains quote post or other embedded content]27 Apr 2026 20:21 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkivish7n22chttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkiu3vx63s2cKing Charles, you don’t hold the cards https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/apr/27/king-charles-awkwardness-meeting-donald-trump-off-camera?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other27 Apr 2026 19:56 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkiu3vx63s2chttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkiay6qdk22tEl canciller alemán afirma que Estados Unidos está siendo “humillado” por Irán en la guerra https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-27/el-canciller-aleman-afirma-que-estados-unidos-esta-siendo-humillado-por-iran-en-la-guerra.html27 Apr 2026 14:14 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkiay6qdk22thttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkhwdknxr224‘STAGED’: Conspiracy Theories Are Everywhere Following White House Correspondents’ Dinner Shooting https://www.wired.com/story/staged-conspiracy-theories-are-everywhere-following-white-house-correspondents-dinner-shooting/?utm_source=nl27 Apr 2026 11:04 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkhwdknxr224https://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkghyu22ws2x🤔26 Apr 2026 21:14 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkghyu22ws2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkaqn25krk2hChevron CEO Expects Air Travel To 'Get Worse' Over The Next Few Weeks As Hormuz Crisis Pushes Fuel Costs Higher https://www.benzinga.com/news/travel/26/04/52028716/chevron-ceo-expects-air-travel-to-get-worse-over-the-next-few-weeks-as-hormuz-crisis-pushes-fuel-costs-higher24 Apr 2026 14:33 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkaqn25krk2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mkaonz645k2hTrump says Americans should expect higher gas prices for ‘a little while’ https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/trump-iran-war-gas-prices-strait-of-hormuz.html A few things. First, it looks like Trump has switched wholesale into the naval blockade strategy - which will be a disaster for inflation /124 Apr 2026 13:58 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mkaonz645k2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/edwardnh.bsky.social/post/3mk6sj5r7rc2mTrump administration pushes DoJ to pursue denaturalization cases – report https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/23/trump-administration-denaturalization?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other23 Apr 2026 20:01 +0000at://did:plc:ioisskri4m3mlaaisct52yl5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mk6sj5r7rc2m