Professor, director, gardener, and a few other things. I mainly do elections. Follow my work at HTTP://EVIC.reed.edu LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-gronke-83452311/https://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mdh4umkcwc2iBreaking news: Trump cabinet official learns that POTUS is a narcissist who only cares about himself. [contains quote post or other embedded content]28 Jan 2026 01:32 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdh4umkcwc2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mdh4dxg27k2iChanging organizational culture — especially a military one — takes a hell of a lot more work that reassigning a leader and installing another one. The Admin has spent six months hiring thugs and praising them when they terrorize the populace. The only way to deescalate is rewind the whole thing28 Jan 2026 01:22 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdh4dxg27k2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mdentcmfmc2iNoem is next. She’s cosplayed for the last time.27 Jan 2026 01:57 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdentcmfmc2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mdekp2l7dk2uI’m relearning German and while I’ve always known the word Grupenfuhrer, I don’t know the word for sacrificial lamb. Both apply to Bovino.27 Jan 2026 01:01 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdekp2l7dk2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3md6pvyfxlc2wCould be a long hot summer24 Jan 2026 17:18 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3md6pvyfxlc2whttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mchrs4auq22hPro tip #3 for #spsa2026 There is no event WiFi for @spsanews.bsky.social so have your hotspot ready if your slides are on the web.15 Jan 2026 14:21 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mchrs4auq22hhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mcfwmspov222Pro tip #2 #spsa2026 The app you want is “SPSA” and is categorized as “reference” Not “SPSA connect” which is categorized as education!14 Jan 2026 20:42 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcfwmspov222https://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mcbwo4a35s2qHot funk along with hot plates at Frenchman’s Street for #spsa202613 Jan 2026 06:32 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcbwo4a35s2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mcb75lui5c2lNOLA pro tip for #spsa2026 Fixed fare for cabs from MSY of $36, $18 a person for 2, $15 apiece for 3 or more. Uber and Lyft were showing me fares over $50.12 Jan 2026 23:31 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcb75lui5c2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3mbnlytyl722aThis football game is nuts05 Jan 2026 04:28 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbnlytyl722ahttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3maa5xdxcvs2nI want someone to cut prices 500%18 Dec 2025 02:47 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3maa5xdxcvs2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3m4vp6p7mk22sUnderstand the need to fill space, a reminder that Harris won 68% of the vote in NYC. There were also three deeply flawed contenders. Not underplaying the amazing Mamdani campaign and his talents, but IMO this is a lot more about campaigning (and shitty opponents) than ideology. Time will tell.05 Nov 2025 18:40 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3m4vp6p7mk22shttps://bsky.app/profile/pgronke.bsky.social/post/3lynz4ql4sc2w@ivelasq3.bsky.social The new book on survey weighting in R is amazing but you may want to reconsider the first section on weighting the ANES (summarized at this post https://www.r-bloggers.com/2025/08/anes-2024-is-out-how-to-analyze-the-data-with-r/) I don't think many end users produce "population size" estimates, as the book describes. 1/12 Sep 2025 19:36 +0000at://did:plc:jdkflb4atjdqtwvmtmtq2egu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lynz4ql4sc2w