<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"><channel><description>Director, 21st Century China Center at UCSD: elite politics, financial markets, debt….of China of course</description><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social</link><title>@vicshih.bsky.social - Victor Shih</title><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3mbhmbmh2yk2i</link><description>We are hiring postdocs! Essentially even though this is one announcement, we are looking for a LLM methods postdoc and a IR/IPE of China postdoc. Would love to have you join us for this 2+ yr position apol-recruit.ucsd.edu/JPF04412&#xA;https://apol-recruit.ucsd.edu/JPF04412</description><pubDate>02 Jan 2026 19:17 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbhmbmh2yk2i</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3maectolcwc2m</link><description>MIIT&#39;s priority AI techs 2025 &#34;complex reasoning models, embodied intelligence models, edge-side models; large-scale computing center, multi-cluster computing power scheduling and coordination, computing center energy consumption management 1/n</description><pubDate>19 Dec 2025 18:25 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3maectolcwc2m</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m3uprhppps2b</link><description>So to understand why Zhang Shengmin was promoted despite being associated with some very corrupt people, I would read my book and this 1973 classic https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-High-Command-Communist-Military/dp/B0006D7SHO/ref=mp_s_a_1_3?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.FyqZKstjAKnOguofJR-yCQ.CpCSMblzBjsjt8IgtX2xlAWEknt7DfJEW0br5Ka3b3g&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;qid=1761234590&amp;refinements=p_27%3AWilliam+W.+Whitson&amp;s=books&amp;sr=1-3</description><pubDate>23 Oct 2025 15:53 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3uprhppps2b</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m3m2rgw5m22w</link><description> “免去李成钢的中华人民共和国常驻世界贸易组织代表、特命全权大使，兼常驻联合国日内瓦办事处和瑞士其他国际组织副代表职务” wait is he purged? Why? http://www.news.cn/20251020/f641acec43014227aaaec44ff5d55f66/c.html</description><pubDate>20 Oct 2025 05:16 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3m2rgw5m22w</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m3idaaqvik2u</link><description>China, India, U.S. are arguably the most dynamic ,impactful countries economically and geopolitically. We @21CenturyChina @GPSIndiaCenter are excited to host @tanvi_madan ,@d_jaishankar Evan Medeiros @SusanShirk1 for an indepth discussion. Join us! https://gps-ucsd.zohobackstage.com/ShiftingTrianglesUSIndiaandChinainaChangingWorld#/</description><pubDate>18 Oct 2025 17:37 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3idaaqvik2u</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m3g7yvyvvs2j</link><description>Well the suspected purge was made public today. It is still shocking because these were the trusted lieutenants Xi put in key positions. Whatever corruption they engaged in, it must have been very bad, or some other factor led to their fall http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/qwfb/16416031.html</description><pubDate>17 Oct 2025 21:33 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3g7yvyvvs2j</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m33rrlnds22c</link><description>We @ChinaDataLab and @UCIGCC launch med the China Policy Document Navigator, a first-of-its-kind database giving researchers curated access to thousands of hard-to-find Chinese policy documents. Learn how to use it and register here: https://chinadatalab.ucsd.edu/viz-blog/china-policy-document-navigator/</description><pubDate>13 Oct 2025 17:52 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m33rrlnds22c</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m33rmiggy22c</link><description>How do promotion prospects drive patterns of repression in China?  @baggottcarter, Jonghyuk Lee, and I find that the most promising officials hesitate to use repression for fear of backlash riots, except for in separatist regions https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/739056?journalCode=jop</description><pubDate>13 Oct 2025 17:49 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m33rmiggy22c</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m2udmuu3p22s</link><description>Both sides are overplaying their hands? https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-china-tariffs-rare-earths-xi-meeting-8053c81a</description><pubDate>10 Oct 2025 18:50 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2udmuu3p22s</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m2qd6ax7ds2i</link><description>For folks interested in some speculations about leadership turnover in China, @NeysunM was kind enough to host this conversation @FPRI in Philly https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ7BTEIsQgI</description><pubDate>09 Oct 2025 04:32 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2qd6ax7ds2i</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m2hxqrmxi22w</link><description>Will read for sure</description><pubDate>05 Oct 2025 20:46 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2hxqrmxi22w</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3m233qoxwbk2v</link><description>Someone should do a survey experiment on whether and how these model workers still help bolster the party’s legitimacy. Quite a lot of effort is still expended to select and highlight them, like this model rail worker 车菲菲 https://zjnews.zjol.com.cn/zjnews/202209/t20220927_24856291.shtml&#xA;https://zjnews.zjol.com.cn/zjnews/202209/…</description><pubDate>30 Sep 2025 17:53 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3m233qoxwbk2v</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lzzwdhyrqs2l</link><description>Ok as of now, if you really rely on LLMs for close reading of government regulations, the interpretation will be mediocre to poor. I think Gemini is pretty good for Chinese material but even it misses many things which would be obvious to a trained human analyst</description><pubDate>30 Sep 2025 06:43 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lzzwdhyrqs2l</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lzk6dodr5s22</link><description>A very sad day for China studies as we lose one of the great mentors of the field&#xA;&#xA;[contains quote post or other embedded content]</description><pubDate>24 Sep 2025 00:24 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lzk6dodr5s22</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lzabs6ibn22b</link><description>Trump unveils $100K yearly fee on H-1B visas in clampdown on legal immigration / lets dramatically slow down the flow of top stem talent into this country. That’s going to end well. And guess what, that will benefit all of our tech competitors</description><pubDate>20 Sep 2025 01:59 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lzabs6ibn22b</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lz5stzhie22g</link><description>Wow, the August issue of Contemporary International Relations, a CICIR journal, has an essay entitled &#34;The End of the West&#34; by CICIR vice director Zhang Jian. Provocative and what timing. The full text is on Ai Sixiang https://oss.aisixiang.com/download/0fedb03385c4a1c75ced267ef14ee688.pdf</description><pubDate>19 Sep 2025 02:26 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lz5stzhie22g</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lyvp5v56ik2m</link><description>I have had a few chats with @josephtorigian.bsky.social on his book but this one really turned out well and we addressed some core issues about the party and its history https://www.ncuscr.org/video/the-partys-interests-come-first-the-life-of-xi-zhongxun-father-of-xi-jinping/</description><pubDate>15 Sep 2025 20:59 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lyvp5v56ik2m</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lyjxctgbdc2b</link><description>#APSA2025 if you still read books, you need to come to MacLeod’s Books</description><pubDate>11 Sep 2025 04:53 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lyjxctgbdc2b</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lyg6b5kczk2f</link><description>Hong Kong: a comeback with Chinese characteristics / yes finance is doing well but you need tourism to come back to generate employment</description><pubDate>09 Sep 2025 16:47 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lyg6b5kczk2f</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lycst3kp422w</link><description>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-08/pop-mart-shares-fall-on-demand-concern-post-index-entry-selling / wait what? The price of labubu won’t go up forever??</description><pubDate>08 Sep 2025 08:44 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lycst3kp422w</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lycgdizg4c2g</link><description>You know i actually read an article today arguing that this large surplus is “locked in” for China. I don’t buy it at all b/c all China has to do is erase all export rebates and transfer proceeds to households directly. Of course trade surplus will not disappear but will shrink&#xA;&#xA;[contains quote post or other embedded content]</description><pubDate>08 Sep 2025 05:01 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lycgdizg4c2g</guid></item><item><link>https://bsky.app/profile/vicshih.bsky.social/post/3lxx4a6kums2e</link><description>If there is a unique technology that can extend life, the dictator can use it himself but deny it to other senior leaders. That may not be the optimal strategy though since it would increase incentive for a coup.&#xA;&#xA;[contains quote post or other embedded content]</description><pubDate>03 Sep 2025 17:00 +0000</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">at://did:plc:mxdrvtympcbpln3lfpt6lcsq/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxx4a6kums2e</guid></item></channel></rss>