Ecology, evolution, health, and stats: geeky but dreadful at typing Imperial College London pearselab.com/https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3mhxithgicc2vDevelop a forecasts of severe patient harm to be used by the NHS! Every 4-hour delay in Emergency Department admission increases 30-day mortality risk by 8%: join the SPHERE forecasting contest and help the NHS reduce delays before they happen! Find out more here: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/articles/natural-sciences/life-sciences/2026/researchers-launch-forecasting-challenge-to-help-predict-severe-patient-harm-in-nhs-hospitals/26 Mar 2026 11:29 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhxithgicc2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3mgd4zyg2bk24Got what it takes to forecast for the NHS? 🏥 We’re releasing 1.3GB of data (2.5 years of records) for a massive forecasting challenge. Predict ambulance & admittance trends to help the NHS. Win 🏆 too... Join here: https://github.com/SPHERE-PPL/NHS-EAD-forecast #DataScience #MachineLearning #NHS #Forecasting05 Mar 2026 15:40 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgd4zyg2bk24https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3mbychz4jyc25SPHERE's annual meeting is on the 14th of January! Robin Freeman (ZSL), Julie Smith (ADAS), and Eric Daub (Alan Turing Institute) will speak, we'll congratulate the Lyme Disease forecast winners, & announce our next contest in collaboration with the NHS! sphere-ppl.org09 Jan 2026 10:37 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbychz4jyc25https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3m6om3rwqgc2bBoost your skills! 📊 Help identify AI training for environmental forecasting at the SPHERE-PPL Annual Meeting, and network! 📅 14th Jan 2026 | The Alan Turing Institute Find out more: sphere-ppl.org Register: https://forms.gle/iy6jC3Xg3QrTjBM67 #Training #AI #EnvironmentalScience #Forecasting #TuringInstitute https://sphere-ppl.org/28 Nov 2025 09:47 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6om3rwqgc2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3m636kvzyo22z*The UK's winter 2020 COVID was foreseen, and should have been better managed* Please read the 2nd chapter of the COVID enquiry. The previous government must be held to account for their negligence, which cost lives. https://covid19.public-inquiry.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/18092508/M2-In-Brief-17.11.25-.pdf20 Nov 2025 16:24 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3m636kvzyo22zhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3m5bwfceru222Spotlight on forecasting contests! 🎯 At the SPHERE-PPL Annual Meeting, you can shape AI forecasting challenges in Environmental Science and maximise their real-world impact. 📅 14-01-2026 | The Alan Turing Institute Register now: https://forms.gle/iy6jC3Xg3QrTjBM67 Find out more: https://sphere-ppl.org/pages/Events/Jan26.html10 Nov 2025 15:21 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5bwfceru222https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3m3tvcsnjxk2j🚀 The 2nd SPHERE-PPL Annual Meeting is happening 14th Jan 2026 at The Alan Turing Institute. Explore AI forecasting in Environmental Science, shape forecasting contests, and network! 📩 Register now: https://forms.gle/iy6jC3Xg3QrTjBM67 🌍 Find out more: https://sphere-ppl.org/pages/Events/Jan26.html23 Oct 2025 07:59 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3tvcsnjxk2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lslmsqwau22sI'm a little biased, but estined to be a classic: a conceptual framework about how to think about 'ecological acclimation' to climate change. Good from the fundamental theory perspective - it wins my "using maths constructively" award for the year! https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2435.7007927 Jun 2025 12:19 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lslmsqwau22shttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3ls46t3e7gk2xAre you an ecologist interested in spatial scaling? Of course you are, we all are! So join this new fractal network! I can say, with absolutely no bias or impartiality at all, that it's amazing! [contains quote post or other embedded content]21 Jun 2025 08:59 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3ls46t3e7gk2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lrq3gfgyzk2wThere still time to enter the SPHERE Lyme disease forecasting contest! Act now for a chance to help improve our understanding of disease *and* win fabulous prizes! (alright, a free conference ticket - but still!) https://sphere-ppl.org/pages/Forecasting_Contests/16 Jun 2025 13:26 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrq3gfgyzk2whttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lqyx5jxesc2vA great event about funding practical solutions to the biodiversity crisis! Looking forward to the next one! [contains quote post or other embedded content]07 Jun 2025 08:38 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lqyx5jxesc2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lo76baiss22gWhy have I, as an otherwise rational human being, clicked the "update all CRAN packages" button when installing an R package at 4.46pm on a Friday just before a bank holiday? 😭02 May 2025 15:46 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lo76baiss22ghttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lnznhcgbtk2pNet-zero is good for business (UK leads this tech), good for health (heatwaves kill, so does dirty air from burning fossil-fuels), and popular (only 24% of UK public oppose https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/survey-results/daily/2025/03/18/c4b0f/1). Good to have debate, but @tonyblairinstitute.bsky.social is wrong on net-zero30 Apr 2025 11:02 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lnznhcgbtk2phttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lnudmfj3uk2jTwo days of rewilding discussion and workshops? Sign me up! Or... you know... sign you up? Great opportunity to get involved with the BES rewilding SIG and meet other practitioners and academics https://www.britishecologicalsociety.org/content/exploring-the-science-of-rewilding/28 Apr 2025 08:23 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lnudmfj3uk2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lmehyyi2vk2mTake part in SPHERE-PPL's Lyme disease forecasting contest! Help improve our understanding of a dreadful disease *and* improve publicly available datasets for everyone! https://sphere-ppl.org/pages/Forecasting_Contests/09 Apr 2025 07:33 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lmehyyi2vk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3ld6exr3yck27Make sure you talk to Mahika Dixit #BES2024 about her work on machine learning, museum specimens, and butterflies and bees! It turns out new image analysis tools help you unpick differences in queens' and workers' responses to climate change13 Dec 2024 08:36 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld6exr3yck27https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3ld6ddzvil227Fight that hangover and get to Nell Pates' talk at 11am in the rewilding session #BES2024! A global meta-analysis of rewilding practice and academic literature awaits - there are some massive disconnects and some tangible ways to resolve them...13 Dec 2024 08:07 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld6ddzvil227https://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lccxnd3ol22tFirst meeting of the UK Vector-Borne Disease Hub! Lauren Cator, @drstevenmwhite.bsky.social , @hannahvineer.bsky.social (and others not on bluesky) figuring out how to share data to support disease modelling and forecasting and make the UK healthier! https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/250073/new-gather-data-diseases-spread-mosquitoes/02 Dec 2024 10:56 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lccxnd3ol22thttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lc3zs5tkhk2bI'm glad the assisted dying bill has passed. There are important details to be resolved, but my dad deserved a choice and deserved better than he got. I have no good digital photos of him: please donate at this link and then take a photo with a loved one https://www.worldwidecancerresearch.org/donate/29 Nov 2024 16:46 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lc3zs5tkhk2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/willpearse.bsky.social/post/3lbz4kgfyrk2hLong-time tweet, new BlueSky-er, it's nice here! My lab works on ecology, evolution, conservation, human health, and AI! We've recently built an ecosystem function forecast model - learn more here https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/research-centres-and-groups/hitachi-decarbonisation/Briefing-Note-Biodiversity-and-Ecosystem-Function.pdf28 Nov 2024 12:57 +0000at://did:plc:nbn2vnsiintu7oc7sysarb7v/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbz4kgfyrk2h