Climate scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading | IPCC AR6 Lead Author | MBE | Views own | https://edhawkins.org Warming Stripes: http://www.ShowYourStripes.infohttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.orghttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3muagltkaxs24Reconstructed Satellite Images Show How Close D-Day Came to Disaster https://gizmodo.com/reconstructed-satellite-images-show-how-close-d-day-came-to-disaster-200080403529 Aug 2026 17:45 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3muagltkaxs24https://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mu2fwrm5ws2zA new Hollywood film (Pressure) is to be released shortly to tell the story of the infamous weather forecast that enabled D-Day to be a success. We produced a new reanalysis for D-Day, and processed it to look a bit like a satellite image. https://climatelabbook.substack.com/p/pressure-the-d-day-weather-forecast27 Aug 2026 08:18 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mu2fwrm5ws2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mu2fwrm5ws2zA new Hollywood film (Pressure) is to be released shortly to tell the story of the infamous weather forecast that enabled D-Day to be a success. We produced a new reanalysis for D-Day, and processed it to look a bit like a satellite image. https://climatelabbook.substack.com/p/pressure-the-d-day-weather-forecast27 Aug 2026 08:18 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mu2fwrm5ws2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mttaw3mwpk25Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.24 Aug 2026 11:59 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mttaw3mwpk25https://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mttaw3mwpk25Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.24 Aug 2026 11:59 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mttaw3mwpk25https://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mtlo75v4mk2fWith the looming El Nino, what does this mean for UK weather? Likely wet? The major El Nino events of the last 50 years have all been coincident with a wet UK in late autumn into winter. The wetter winter part did not occur during the 1877-78 El Nino, which we think was the largest event on record.21 Aug 2026 11:35 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtlo75v4mk2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mtf3orf3s22fDaily rainfall sheet for Mile End in London in 1893 - dry from 4th March to 15th May - 73 days - the longest such dry period on record, for now.18 Aug 2026 20:48 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtf3orf3s22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mtf3orf3s22fDaily rainfall sheet for Mile End in London in 1893 - dry from 4th March to 15th May - 73 days - the longest such dry period on record, for now.18 Aug 2026 20:48 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtf3orf3s22fhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3mt244u7lcc2jEarlier in the summer I presented a figure showing how a comparable weather event to the summer of 1976 would be experienced in a warmer current climate. It would be 3-4°C hotter, with London hitting 38°C. Yesterday, that is exactly what happened.14 Aug 2026 11:57 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3mt244u7lcc2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3msynjizjfk2rHorrific scenes in Stourbridge & Stoke-on-Trent today with several houses devastated by wildfires. The Fire Service are saying that the hot and dry conditions helped the fires to spread from grasslands to residential areas.13 Aug 2026 22:03 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3msynjizjfk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3msxwyczhes24A temperature above 37°C has only been recorded on nine days in the UK since records began – three of those occasions have now been in 2026, including today. Reading University has recorded its warmest August day on record (since 1908), and second warmest day overall.13 Aug 2026 15:19 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3msxwyczhes24https://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3msxrotjzuk25Past greenhouse gas emissions, primarily from burning fossil fuels, means that peak temperatures in the UK today are hotter (by around 3°C) than they would otherwise have been. Future burning of fossil fuels means heatwave temperatures will get hotter and hotter until we reach net-zero emissions. [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Aug 2026 13:45 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3msxrotjzuk25https://bsky.app/profile/edhawkins.org/post/3msx532ecec2wWe are so fortunate that the geometry of our solar system is aligned to give us the wonderful spectacle of the #eclipse. Although it wasn't a total eclipse in the UK, it was fantastic to see so many people out watching!13 Aug 2026 07:36 +0000at://did:plc:nvm7cc2o4lh7uibtv2ujsa4e/app.bsky.feed.post/3msx532ecec2w