Scientist | Professor at the University of São Paulo (@uspoficial.bsky.social) | Complexity, networks, data science, epidemic models, synchronization, statistics, brain networks | More: https://t.co/naWoWNW9I4. (He/him) 🇧🇷 🇵🇹https://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3mgfouxfb2c2eOur short review is available online on EPL (Europhysics Letters). Prediction and inference in complex networks: A brief review and perspectives https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1209/0295-5075/ae2950 https://t.co/NabobkgKed06 Mar 2026 16:04 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgfouxfb2c2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3m7kfv3mysk2qOur new perspective on @arxiv: Prediction and inference in complex networks: a brief review and perspectives arxiv.org/abs/2512.0743909 Dec 2025 11:10 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3m7kfv3mysk2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3m6kbi3drlc2lOur new paper on ecoevorxiv: A novel semantic theory of the assembly rules of interaction networks https://ecoevorxiv.org/repository/view/10910/ Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.26 Nov 2025 16:26 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6kbi3drlc2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3m666t5pnh22lOur new paper on @arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2511.12787 With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.1278721 Nov 2025 21:07 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3m666t5pnh22lhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3m3j2o4spfs2wNew preprint from our group: Neural networks for dengue forecasting: a systematic review https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.10.14.25338016v1.full.pdf+html #epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning19 Oct 2025 00:36 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3m3j2o4spfs2whttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3m2ihk3kanc2nIn a new paper on @condmatstatmech-bt.bsky.social, we introduce a novel framework for quantifying the impact of each edge (i.e. each bank–firm relationship) on systemic risk in financial systems. 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087 #complexity #economics #networks #datascience https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.0308706 Oct 2025 01:28 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2ihk3kanc2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lxwmp5mgpc2xNew text on Medium : Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy https://francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory-the-anguish-of-freedom-and-the-banality-of-evil-577e4c4f0b3703 Sep 2025 12:22 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxwmp5mgpc2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lxkt6m3e6c2fOur new work on Arxiv. arxiv.org/abs/2508.20257 https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.2025729 Aug 2025 19:47 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxkt6m3e6c2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lxhnbujjgs2eThe Economist: What Brazil can teach America https://www.economist.com/leaders/2025/08/28/brazil-offers-america-a-lesson-in-democratic-maturity28 Aug 2025 13:23 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxhnbujjgs2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lv723mzco22cIn a new paper, we examine Parkinson's disease using electroencephalography signals. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2632-072X/adf58a30 Jul 2025 16:28 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lv723mzco22chttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lv4r64a6zk2s🚨New paper: Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-13257-z29 Jul 2025 18:43 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lv4r64a6zk2shttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3ltmml54ekk2rN𝐞𝐰 𝐩𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐩𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐡𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐄. We explore the use of 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬 (CNNs) to predict parameters in 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐨𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐝𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐬. https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/wz7j-lzvs10 Jul 2025 15:13 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3ltmml54ekk2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lqd2nflrps2bMy EPL Highlight: Physics and machine learning: mutual benefits https://www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn/pdf/2025/01/epn2025561p8.pdf #Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science29 May 2025 15:42 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lqd2nflrps2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lpshio3plc2iA group led by Professor Michael Mockel from Aschaffenburg University visited usy today. We had some very productive discussions in our beautiful garden. Also with prof. Thomas Peron.23 May 2025 01:17 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lpshio3plc2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3loiw7xtpws22My new post: On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT https://medium.com/@francisco-rodrigues/on-the-shoulders-of-giants-from-the-pre-socratics-to-chatgpt-f4d66065dc0f06 May 2025 12:49 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3loiw7xtpws22https://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lobekjziac2pIn our new paper, we show that caries may be the first warning sign of chronic diseases . https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220345251317487 #caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs03 May 2025 12:44 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lobekjziac2phttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lobdsqguuc2iIn our new paper in Scientific Reports, we use a machine learning workflow to analyze drug-induced changes in neuronal biosensor data using complex network measures. #Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-99479-703 May 2025 12:31 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lobdsqguuc2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3ln3im5lqjk2sGreat to see that our work on #multilayer #networks was one of the most-read papers in Methods in Ecology and Evolution: 🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/2041-210X.14257 With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.18 Apr 2025 11:15 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3ln3im5lqjk2shttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lmsauuuzls2u🚨 Applications open to study high-order complex networks in beautiful Natal. 🏖️ https://www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail.php?inf===QTUdWM 🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July). 🏖️ Natal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEysTNvaBM14 Apr 2025 19:03 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lmsauuuzls2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3ljryue6vps2zIn our new paper, we show how machine learning can accurately diagnose depressive disorders from EEG data. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0960077925001766?dgcid=author07 Mar 2025 12:24 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3ljryue6vps2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3ljaf3f37os2u🚨 Complex Networks beyond Pairwise Interactions: From Theory to Applications ✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July). 🌍 In Natal, Brazil. https://www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail.php?inf===QTUdWM28 Feb 2025 12:15 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3ljaf3f37os2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lhw4ntvmh22j ✅ The "𝐈𝐈 𝐒𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐥 𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐮𝐬 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬" will take place from May 12-18, 2025, at IFT-UNESP in São Paulo, sponsored by ICTP-SAIFR. 🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses. www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/11 Feb 2025 16:52 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhw4ntvmh22jhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lhhdzedogk2cIn our new paper, we employ network analysis to examine community disputes in post-civil war Mozambique. By analyzing a range of conflicts—from domestic disputes to wartime accusations—we reveal the deep-rooted tensions that persist in the Gorongosa district. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X2500013005 Feb 2025 19:54 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhhdzedogk2chttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lgv7e4nkh22xIn our new paper in the Proceedings of the Royal Society A, we use machine learning techniques to predict dynamic variables in complex networks. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspa.2024.0435 With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths29 Jan 2025 14:43 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lgv7e4nkh22xhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lfqn3mu36s24In a new paper on arXiv, we introduce a principled Bayesian framework for identifying power-law behaviour. Our methodology does not reject the scale-free hypothesis in many cases where the KS test does, contributing to a more precise evaluation of the scale-free hypothesis. arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200 https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.1120015 Jan 2025 01:40 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfqn3mu36s24https://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lfbduyqiy22zIn our new paper in NJP, we study a SIRS model with gamma-distributed recovery times. We show that the epidemic lifetime on star graphs follows a non-universal power law and is shortened as the number of phases increases. with @silviojrufv.bsky.social https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1367-2630/ada79508 Jan 2025 23:45 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfbduyqiy22zhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lf4dcqru622zIn our new paper in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, we quantified the gap between expected and observed dengue cases in Brazil. We used an interrupted time series approach, incorporating predictions generated by machine learning models. With @kroster.bsky.social https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.001272606 Jan 2025 23:52 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lf4dcqru622zhttps://bsky.app/profile/franciscorodrigues.bsky.social/post/3lemdgtp7ms2eIn our new paper in Physical Review E, we explore transfer entropy (TE) as a tool to study the evolution of population contact patterns in epidemic processes. https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.110.064321 with @ymoreno.bsky.social, Tiago Martinelli, and Alberto Aleta #complexnetworks #complexity #networks31 Dec 2024 15:11 +0000at://did:plc:ox6inbf2rwn4kj5ms3k3c775/app.bsky.feed.post/3lemdgtp7ms2e