International trade professor, NAFTA/USMCA, Canada-US relations, sanctions, G7.https://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lrvbydfon22xMy latest for CD Howe on Canada's tricky path to the USMCA review, and negotiating the tariff relief needed from the US to journey forward. https://cdhowe.org/publication/urgency-and-caution-charting-a-careful-path-to-the-cusma-review/18 Jun 2025 15:07 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrvbydfon22xhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lljmh424vc2lLink to my full discussion on trade diversification on TVO this week. [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Mar 2025 15:11 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lljmh424vc2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3llf7dko7d226I’ll be on TVO’s TheAgenda tonight talking about trade diversification, amidst Canada-US trade tensions. Tune in! [contains quote post or other embedded content]27 Mar 2025 21:06 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3llf7dko7d226https://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lid7hw6rls2yMy interview w FP's Gabe Friedman on changing Cda-US trade relations under Trump 2.0: - Tariffs as sanctions & the power of threats; - Canada’s unhelpful public debates on retaliation & what Mex is doing right; - Cdn options as US leadership & coop decline. https://open.spotify.com/episode/0N0KWyspPieRv3KImrbr3T?si=-tJLZ4vBQA2_Pyju-rHHkg16 Feb 2025 21:47 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lid7hw6rls2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3li3nri7rxs27The closest recent approximation of a country-by-country, product-specific tariff is the EU's CBAM. In a shocking development, the EU learned CBAM is administratively complex and onerous, and offers limited benefits. So, now they plan to ditch 80% of it.. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/eu-considers-exempting-most-companies-carbon-border-levy-2025-02-07/13 Feb 2025 21:42 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3li3nri7rxs27https://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3li343sk3sk2aSomething I wrote on reciprocity in trade negotiations, particularly between partners of very different size and influence. Though this excerpt is from a chapter on temporary entry provisions, the reciprocity point is broader. Full chapter here: https://amazon.ca/Canadas-Fluid-Borders-Investment-Migration/dp/077662936013 Feb 2025 16:26 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3li343sk3sk2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lhrto5hfik2pI enjoyed the conversation last week with economist colleagues @trevortombe.bsky.social, Stephen Tapp, and Dan Ciuriak on Canadian policy toward Trump, tariffs and trade moving forward. Thanks CABE for organizing. Watch it here: https://cabe.ca/webinar/cabe-webinar-trade-economist-panel-on-how-to-respond-to-trumps-tariff-threats/10 Feb 2025 00:01 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhrto5hfik2phttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lgjduvgcss2oMy comments in today's Toronto Star on Canada's trade diversification challenges. And for the trade nerds, gravity even got a shoutout in a major Cdn daily. https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/donald-trump-is-exploiting-canadas-reliance-on-trade-with-america-why-dont-we-trade-with/article_42146eae-d8f4-11ef-ac52-9f91f385380b.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=user-share24 Jan 2025 21:32 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lgjduvgcss2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lggl7tasrk2yMy interview on the future trade implications of Canada's Digital Services Tax and Online Streaming Act during Trump 2.0: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-canadas-digital-services-tax-and-online-regulation-bills-are-likely/23 Jan 2025 19:05 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lggl7tasrk2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lggl2viczc2yMy interview with Gabe Friedman of the FP on Canada's EV supply chain in light of Trump 2.0 and linked IRA investments: https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/electric-vehicles/electric-vehicle-supply-chain-doubts23 Jan 2025 19:02 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lggl2viczc2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lfxrn7xldk2oMy conversation with CD Howe Inst on Trump, tariffs and the threat to Canada: https://www.cdhowe.org/publication/trumps-tumultuous-tariff-threat-with-meredith-lilly-and-daniel-schwanen-audio/17 Jan 2025 21:50 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfxrn7xldk2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lehqqbm37k2bMany seem surprised that Trump supports the H-1B program. But his openness to the program has been consistent over time. I wrote about it in this 2021 chapter comparing the US H-1B and Canadian TFW program reforms (1/4):29 Dec 2024 19:26 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lehqqbm37k2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3ldquxpw2ms26My new podcast with Chris Hernandez-Roy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies @csis.org on addressing Canada-US trade relations under Trump 2.0. I also touch on the role of Cdn political uncertainty on the signals being sent/received in US & Mex. https://www.csis.org/podcasts/35-west/trade-tariffs-and-future-us-canada-relations20 Dec 2024 17:11 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldquxpw2ms26https://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3ld4jbeqqxk2pGreat and informative piece on provincial differences to US tariff exposure by @trevortombe.bsky.social . [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 Dec 2024 14:48 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld4jbeqqxk2phttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lcne26key22cNot sure why the US’s efforts to limit exposure to ICJ judgement on climate obligations is surprising. Pretty standard for US to seek to limit multilateral institutions from infringing sovereignty and exposing US to higher obligations than exist domestically. 1/3 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/04/us-climate-crisis-legal-court06 Dec 2024 14:05 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcne26key22chttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lcgml2v2ps2sICYMI last week. Reposting my conversation with Sean Speer at TheHub on Trump, tariffs and the trade consequences of Canada's Online Streaming Act for USMCA. https://thehub.ca/podcasts/canadians-cant-panic-meredith-lilly-on-canada-u-s-trade-relations-and-how-the-online-streaming-act-is-making-things-worse/03 Dec 2024 21:49 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcgml2v2ps2shttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lbzcjog5k22rCheck out my latest conversation on Trump, tariffs and the consequences of Online Streaming Act for Canada-US relations moving forward. Podcast with Sean Speer at The Hub. https://open.spotify.com/episode/4wYJNc7NpH4So8tNnp9kxA?si=gRqFIdibRtej4TcNCLqF4w28 Nov 2024 14:44 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbzcjog5k22rhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lbk6sa3qjk2mGreat conversation with Trade Knowledge Matters and @simonlester.com on trade with the US in the coming months. [contains quote post or other embedded content]22 Nov 2024 14:27 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbk6sa3qjk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3lb6atjdrj22hIs focusing on the ‘win-wins’ the right way to deal with Trump, as Trudeau advises here? https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/trudeau-says-apec-leaders-focused-on-how-to-trade-with-trump-administration-1.711274117 Nov 2024 20:32 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3lb6atjdrj22hhttps://bsky.app/profile/meredithlilly.bsky.social/post/3kf6qnaihbs25Have arrived at Bsky. Here for all things international trade, Canada-US relations, industrial policy and geoeconomics.27 Nov 2023 17:29 +0000at://did:plc:p324jdol6cwwrt5dnb2zpgee/app.bsky.feed.post/3kf6qnaihbs25