Political scientist who is a visiting senior fellow at IISS and professor (on leave) at the US Naval War College. Sure it works in practice, but how does it work in theory? Opinions are mine.https://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mrcg33g5hc2z“Macerated” is now my new favorite not-quite-euphemism. [contains quote post or other embedded content]23 Jul 2026 08:26 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mrcg33g5hc2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mmgvgiqaj22k“Right now, we’re doing a pause in order to make sure we have the munitions we need for Epic Fury – which we have plenty” https://www-aljazeera-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2026/5/22/us-pausing-14bn-arms-sale-to-taiwan-due-to-iran-war-navy-chief-says22 May 2026 12:05 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mmgvgiqaj22khttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mjjsauvzh227Brilliant [contains quote post or other embedded content]15 Apr 2026 11:31 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mjjsauvzh227https://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mjey2ldjdc2rOne of the field's most interesting scholars in civi-military relations writing on a very important and timely target. [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Apr 2026 13:31 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mjey2ldjdc2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mj5hj2pqtc25Gulf chaos further compounds European states' incentives to arm selfishly & wastefully now versus collectively & cost-effectively later. Germany/Poland generate most new capability; France/UK nuclear deterrence & mild power projection. It's probably enough. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/europe/europes-new-defense-core10 Apr 2026 13:47 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mj5hj2pqtc25https://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mhpqyz2vz22cAdam Smith observed that there’s a lot of ruin in a nation, I continue to be surprised by how much ruin there is in a hegemon. https://www.ft.com/content/a6d0083d-ef46-4940-965e-2dfaeecd5bc4?shareType=nongift America keeps bailing out Trump23 Mar 2026 09:34 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhpqyz2vz22chttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mhlk5mcft22cThere is a metaphor here somewhere…. https://www.ft.com/content/9089e369-92f4-48dc-ac09-46b6a62035a6?syn-25a6b1a6=121 Mar 2026 17:21 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhlk5mcft22chttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mhe5em67cs2aSecretary Hegseth's public comments reveal a key shift in US civil-military relations that hasn't gotten enough attention. NYT recently described his view of war as without "moral purpose" but more accurately he assigns war *no* political or strategic purpose. 1/7 https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/us/politics/hegseth-iran-war.html18 Mar 2026 18:43 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhe5em67cs2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3mhe5em67cs2aSecretary Hegseth's public comments reveal a key shift in US civil-military relations that hasn't gotten enough attention. NYT recently described his view of war as without "moral purpose" but more accurately he assigns war *no* political or strategic purpose. 1/7 https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/us/politics/hegseth-iran-war.html18 Mar 2026 18:43 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3mhe5em67cs2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3m77ubjy5j22qReturning today from some European events on transatlantic relations. No doubt the colleagues I met are revising their priors further. All such documents are tools of domestic as much as international politics. This one seems almost entirely aimed at the former. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf05 Dec 2025 06:28 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3m77ubjy5j22qhttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3m6wjpx6pcs2nThis is dead right. Elites in China, India, the US and elsewhere took Huntington’s naive essentialism and turned it into an instruction manual for mobilization. https://academic.oup.com/edited-volume/35431/chapter-abstract/303227800?redirectedFrom=fulltext [contains quote post or other embedded content]01 Dec 2025 13:26 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6wjpx6pcs2nhttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3m6p27b75ik2kIn our new (open access!) Survival article, Ethan Kapstein and I argue Europe’s rapid rearmament and US focus elsewhere are enabling a more effective and sustainable transatlantic partnership...if its members are willing to acknowledge and maintain it. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00396338.2025.258896028 Nov 2025 13:59 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6p27b75ik2khttps://bsky.app/profile/jcaverley.bsky.social/post/3lv4cpbwpuc2oThis. The political economy of American higher education is deeply misunderstood even by most of the people within it. This is shocking considering the stakes involved as well as US elites' obsession with it. [contains quote post or other embedded content]29 Jul 2025 14:24 +0000at://did:plc:pbrmxao2o47fpxcldiate3yn/app.bsky.feed.post/3lv4cpbwpuc2o