Managing editor @votebeat.org. Previously senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at votebeat dot orghttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr7fwpefk22wFormer NFL player Jay Feely has won the GOP primary in #AZ01, per the AP. This is a swing seat being vacated by Rep. David Schweikert (R). The Dem primary is still up in the air.22 Jul 2026 03:45 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr7fwpefk22whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr7ft7pofc2wThere was some thought that Greg Stanton's progressive challenger could make the #AZ04 Democratic primary interesting. But Stanton's currently leading 68–32%, and the AP has called the race.22 Jul 2026 03:43 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr7ft7pofc2whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr7frcivq22wPinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb has won the GOP nomination in #AZ05, the AP projects. Lamb had Trump's endorsement but was dogged by reports he pressured women to stay silent about his sexual relationships with them.22 Jul 2026 03:42 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr7frcivq22whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr7fnwa6n22wThe AP has called the Republican primary for Arizona secretary of state for state Rep. Alex Kolodin, who was involved with the effort to overturn the 2020 election. He'll face Democratic incumbent Adrian Fontes in a race with major 2028 stakes.22 Jul 2026 03:40 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr7fnwa6n22whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr7doehfoc2wThe AP has called the GOP primary for #AZgov for Andy Biggs after he pulls out to a big (70–18%) lead in the first batch of Maricopa County results. The conservative hardliner will face Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) in November.22 Jul 2026 03:05 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr7doehfoc2whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr6oc7yb3s2tToday is the Arizona primary! Polls close at 10pm ET, but as you might recall, election results in AZ can take a long time. Read @sashahupka.bsky.social's explainer: https://www.votebeat.org/arizona/2026/07/21/primary-2026-election-results-timing-congress-governor/21 Jul 2026 20:42 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr6oc7yb3s2thttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr6gd43e6k2wThis is a really bad error. But it’s also worth noting that it doesn’t come close to the number of noncitizens that Trump claimed in NJ. [contains quote post or other embedded content]21 Jul 2026 18:19 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr6gd43e6k2whttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mr4mwe4kak2jSo far tonight at Fenway Park, the Wave started in the 4th inning, a dog won the fan dance-off, and someone drank a beer out of his shoe on the Jumbotron.21 Jul 2026 01:12 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mr4mwe4kak2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqsnnldepk2mIn his much-anticipated speech, Trump made quite a few allegations about elections. Let's break down some of them here...17 Jul 2026 01:59 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqsnnldepk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqr5d23fis23Gonna be watching Trump’s speech tonight closely—but it’s important to remember that his powers over elections are very limited. https://www.votebeat.org/national/2026/07/16/trump-speech-voting-machines-intelligence-2020-election/16 Jul 2026 11:34 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqr5d23fis23https://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqq5hruz7s2fThe MLB app now has an option to show betting odds right there on the game card.16 Jul 2026 02:04 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqq5hruz7s2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqozwlk2bs2qThe @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social midterm forecast is out: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026 And of note, they are incorporating prediction market data.15 Jul 2026 15:28 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqozwlk2bs2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mql7pknkpk23IMO, this #HRDerby was good because of Jordan Walker, not the new rules. A bad process can produce a good outcome, and vice versa. I think the timer created more excitement and on average allowed for more impressive individual performances, like Vlad’s and Julio’s.14 Jul 2026 03:01 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mql7pknkpk23https://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mql6kqg7us23OK, that was a good finish. #HRDerby14 Jul 2026 02:40 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mql6kqg7us23https://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mql2yg7d6k2aLast year’s #HRderby contestants averaged more than 16 home runs in the first round. Under the new rules, the highest first-round total is 13.14 Jul 2026 01:36 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mql2yg7d6k2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqkvyefnls2kFor the record, I’ve got Murakami. #HRDerby14 Jul 2026 00:07 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqkvyefnls2khttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqklizb26s2jStarting in 1 minute! [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Jul 2026 20:59 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqklizb26s2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqkgmymq6k2oIn 90 minutes, Votebeat reporters are holding a virtual event to answer your (yes, YOUR) questions about federal interference in the 2026 midterms. Here's the link to RSVP: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/will-the-midterms-happen-your-election-questions-answered-registration-1991597512773?aff=eventstory13 Jul 2026 19:32 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqkgmymq6k2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqjsyzjs5s2rEveryone complains about All-Star Game fan voting... but according to election experts, MLB actually does a pretty good job with it. https://www.votebeat.org/national/2026/07/13/major-league-baseball-all-star-game-election-fan-vote-2026/13 Jul 2026 13:41 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjsyzjs5s2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqjsopns622rCalifornia is spending $40 million to speed up vote-counting in November, but that probably won't be enough: https://www.ocregister.com/2026/07/10/california-earmarks-40-million-to-speed-up-vote-counting-in-november-but-county-elections-officials-want-to-temper-expectations/13 Jul 2026 13:35 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqjsopns622rhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mqhcuyfct22tWhoa. Tragic and unexpected. RIP [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 Jul 2026 13:47 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mqhcuyfct22thttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mq7z6vaxfc2dI’ve been in Michigan for more than 24 hours, and only just now saw the first evidence that there’s a hot-button #MIsen race (an Abdul yard sign).09 Jul 2026 16:05 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mq7z6vaxfc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mq6gemlns22vState capitol #25. Doesn’t measure up to Iowa/Wisconsin/Minnesota, but better than most non-Midwestern capitols.09 Jul 2026 00:55 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mq6gemlns22vhttps://bsky.app/profile/baseballot.bsky.social/post/3mq2ssiaol72xBetter late than never: Here's the box score for last month's Congressional Baseball Game, which Republicans won 11–2.07 Jul 2026 14:27 +0000at://did:plc:qcbppvjp4va2ovv6bjsmsgax/app.bsky.feed.post/3mq2ssiaol72x