Economist at @epi.org https://www.epi.org/people/ben-zipperer/https://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.orghttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlwq56r7gc2oStaggered adoption breaks TWFE event studies. Already-treated units act as controls for later cohorts, so pre-trend violations outside the window leak into the lags, while the leads appear flat [contains quote post or other embedded content]16 May 2026 01:48 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlwq56r7gc2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mltah5dsbc26One more reason why unemployment benefit take-up rates are so low, from the former head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics: [contains quote post or other embedded content]14 May 2026 16:29 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mltah5dsbc26https://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlt76eksks26somewhere, an #rstats and linux-using ornithologist is having a very bad day [contains quote post or other embedded content]14 May 2026 16:06 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlt76eksks26https://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlr2c7cspk2yso helpful13 May 2026 19:34 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlr2c7cspk2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlojkug6d22pRemarkable that California's fast-food minimum wage had no effect on jobs Given its relatively high "bite" and partial coverage (large chains only), employers and consumers could have shifted toward lower-wage alternatives, but it appears they didn't [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 May 2026 19:29 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlojkug6d22phttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlo2fvh6ik2qThanks to Trump's war with Iran, real wages fell for two straight months and are now lower than they were a year ago12 May 2026 14:58 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlo2fvh6ik2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlmojudlec2q [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 May 2026 01:53 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlmojudlec2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlm77paxwc2qDe Las Souls [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 May 2026 21:18 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlm77paxwc2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlljrxknak27Aggressive immigration enforcement leads to more crime and fewer reports to police [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 May 2026 14:55 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlljrxknak27https://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mllstud2jc2eEven if passed, this will do nothing to lower the price at the pump. Cutting taxes on a good whose supply can't expand just lets sellers pocket the savings. Demand is still chasing the same fixed supply. [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 May 2026 17:37 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mllstud2jc2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlljrxknak27Aggressive immigration enforcement leads to more crime and fewer reports to police [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 May 2026 14:55 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlljrxknak27https://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlhcatrvkk2mvery dirty martini09 May 2026 22:29 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlhcatrvkk2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlgssvx3t22uHas any single presidential action ever done more immediate damage to real wages? [contains quote post or other embedded content]09 May 2026 17:53 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlgssvx3t22uhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mlevvfehd22xShould've run; while you had the chance [contains quote post or other embedded content]08 May 2026 23:43 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mlevvfehd22xhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mleqwdplmc2qshake shake shake your amaro08 May 2026 22:14 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mleqwdplmc2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/benzipperer.org/post/3mldvxmuv6c26Bad news for US workers: with nominal wage growth slowing and oil prices rising, real wages all but guaranteed to decline. [contains quote post or other embedded content]08 May 2026 14:12 +0000at://did:plc:qpyvsjongvk4oiuntlzd5go4/app.bsky.feed.post/3mldvxmuv6c26