Posts ≠ Financial Advice ➢ Opinions expressed are solely my own. chartkidmatt.com/subscribehttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3mec6qemiyk2eEqual Weight S&P 500 has outperformed Cap Weight by 4.2% through 2/7. That's the highest spread going back to 1992. 34 years. Incredible.07 Feb 2026 19:47 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3mec6qemiyk2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3mcup2rwfdk22If I had one visual to explain what is happening in markets, it is this one. Mag7 breaking down relative to S&P 500. Small Caps breaking out relative to S&P 500. Could it be this simple?20 Jan 2026 17:37 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3mcup2rwfdk22https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3mc6r6jgcz22oMarket internals currently signal "risk-on" - 79% of Discretionary Sector Above 200D - Only 35% Of Staples Sector Above 200D The "spread" between the two is plotted below. 44% more Discretionary stocks above 200D. "Risk-on" stocks rising while "risk-off" falling = bullish.12 Jan 2026 00:16 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3mc6r6jgcz22ohttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3mc6ou6d6ps2oTotal Returns Over Past Year: S&P Pure Value: +22% S&P Pure Growth: +16% Over 600 bps of outperformance in value stocks. Narrow market? This suggests otherwise. 👇11 Jan 2026 23:34 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3mc6ou6d6ps2ohttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3mbwr7h7kuc24I have never seen a day in the market like this.08 Jan 2026 19:55 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3mbwr7h7kuc24https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3m6it5etnu22aGoogle's forward PE looks like a meme stock. Nearly doubled off the low. 👇26 Nov 2025 02:37 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6it5etnu22ahttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3m6hgvkmdq226Google is now more expensive than Nvidia. Look at the spread between their Forward P/E ratios. Wow. 👇25 Nov 2025 13:25 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6hgvkmdq226https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3m6hgvkmdq226Google is now more expensive than Nvidia. Look at the spread between their Forward P/E ratios. Wow. 👇25 Nov 2025 13:25 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3m6hgvkmdq226https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3lds7espbus24We are seeing capitulatory, bear market low type oversold readings in the middle of a strong bull market. Look at this metric: - % S&P 500 with RSI below 30 (yesterday): 31.5% - % S&P 500 with RSI below 30 (9/30/22) : 31.9% 👇21 Dec 2024 05:50 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3lds7espbus24https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3ld5ge7jwv226🐂The avg bull market has 8 5% pullbacks. 👉 We have had 5 in the current bull run. Meaning, it would be normal if we saw several more pullbacks before this bull market ends. 👇12 Dec 2024 23:29 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld5ge7jwv226https://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3ld26s6knks2uThis one is interesting. - Blue bars are sector returns YTD - Red dots are avg return of stock within sector - Bottom shows over/under performance of the average stock vs its sector. The best sectors YTD also have their average stocks underperforming sharply. 👇11 Dec 2024 16:35 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld26s6knks2uhttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3lcv6wem7z22jThe NASDAQ is -0.50% today. But the internals paint a rosier picture. - 55% of stocks are advancing in the index. Not as "risk off" within. 👇09 Dec 2024 16:54 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcv6wem7z22jhttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3lcnz65mjuk2wNEW🚨: Ben with Benefits by @bencarlson007.bsky.social Highly recommend giving this a listen 🎧 👇 https://youtu.be/oqzryxsLp64?feature=shared06 Dec 2024 20:23 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcnz65mjuk2whttps://bsky.app/profile/mattcerminaro.bsky.social/post/3lcikzf744c2fEverybody tells us the "market is narrow" That's just not true. I brought the data. In 2H 2024: - The S&P 500 is +11.8% - But the average S&P 500 stock is +13.7% So the average stock is outperforming the index in 2H by 2%. Next time you hear the "narrow market" narrative, reference this. 👇04 Dec 2024 16:26 +0000at://did:plc:rbf2u74kfrvvyl2qa3tuqvff/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcikzf744c2f