Mathematical modeller / epidemiologist / ex-ecologist at Imperial College London. https://thomrawson.github.io/https://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3loq4orej3c2lSuper thrilled to say our study "A Mathematical Model of H5N1 influenza transmission in US dairy cattle" is now live in Nature Comms. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59554-z Within days of being identified, cases of H5N1 in cows were popping up all over the US, how was it spreading so quickly? 🧵 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59554-z09 May 2025 09:33 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3loq4orej3c2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lgpy3j7o4k2dWe've been running this short course for around 30 years now, while constantly updating to the cutting edge of techniques. Please do circulate to any and all interested parties, and drop me a message if you have any questions! [contains quote post or other embedded content]27 Jan 2025 12:49 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lgpy3j7o4k2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lfatbihoek2vI spoke with The I Paper just before Christmas about the continued threat of H5N1 bird flu; how unexpected the jump to cows was; and the many blind spots that exist in our understanding of pathogen "crossover". [contains quote post or other embedded content]08 Jan 2025 18:48 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfatbihoek2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3ld7deh5rec2qNot unexpected given wild bird migrations, but didn't expect this headline! [contains quote post or other embedded content]13 Dec 2024 17:40 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3ld7deh5rec2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbwe57ni6s22Awesome session yesterday at the first ever #London #Infection & #Ecology Network (LIEN) seminar. Met some great people, heard some terrific talks, and got to see this very cool geological map of London.27 Nov 2024 10:35 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbwe57ni6s22https://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbs5zw5jds2h"Forecasters criticised". As Prof. Ralf Toumi explained in our climate and health #podcast episode - extreme weather due to climate change is incredibly hard to predict. It's not just damaging, but we can't accurately predict it! https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/25/travel-chaos-and-flooding-to-continue-as-uk-counts-cost-of-storm-bert25 Nov 2024 18:35 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbs5zw5jds2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbrl5gbigs2bI've been seeing this "risk increases 5-fold this winter" stat a lot. H5N1 obviously a big threat, but this specific stat is very misleading. That is a five-fold increase compared to the summer, and based on a non-peer-reviewed model. Basically just "more flu in winter". [contains quote post or other embedded content]25 Nov 2024 12:57 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbrl5gbigs2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbki46ywjk2dDidn't feel a thing during this year's #flu shot. Asked the doctor why some shots hurt more than others. She explained the trick is about finding "...the juiciest part of the muscle."22 Nov 2024 17:14 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbki46ywjk2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbeycxolis2cDeeply insightful (and sobering) panel discussion right now in @mrc-outbreak.bsky.social Jameel Institute event on healthcare priorities in conflict settings. Including Rachael Cummings, Save the Children's Humanitarian Director, remotely joining from Gaza. #healthsystems #publichealth20 Nov 2024 12:48 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbeycxolis2chttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbeuij2joc2e#Winter is here. All #academics get out their matching winter outfits. #Twinning20 Nov 2024 11:40 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbeuij2joc2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbcgnelftm2aWant to listen to a great #epidemiology / #PublicHealth #science #podcast ? Might I then recommend JameelCast? Our podcast short series showcasing the work being done within Imperial College's Jameel Institute! Aimed at a general audience, web link here: jameelcast.pinecast.co https://jameelcast.pinecast.co/19 Nov 2024 12:27 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbcgnelftm2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/thomrawson.bsky.social/post/3lbcfgrlpxe2aIntroduction Post: I'm Thom, I'm a mathematician by training, and I work on modelling a variety of infectious diseases within Imperial's @mrc-outbreak.bsky.social 😷🦠 In general, my work is about squeezing sparse datasets for any details they're hiding.19 Nov 2024 12:05 +0000at://did:plc:ss5zmorzywgnbvkfuzzy2bvw/app.bsky.feed.post/3lbcfgrlpxe2a