Scientist & Prof @UOxford https://kraemerlab.com/ https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/pandemic-genomics https://www.psi.ox.ac.uk/ https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mll3shld2222Two more passengers (one in France and one in the US) from the MV Hondius testing positive after being evacuated yesterday. All data here: https://github.com/kraemer-lab/Hondius_hantavirus_h2026/blob/main/data/linelist/2026_hantavirus.csv11 May 2026 10:45 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mll3shld2222https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mk2xv4ruys2fJoseph Tsui, Ben Reddy and I are recruiting a postdoc @psioxford.bsky.social to work on AI methods for multi-pathogen and multi-country biosurveillance optimisation for epidemic and endemic pathogens. Closing date May 11th https://my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecruit/erq_jobspec_version_4.jobspec?p_id=186094 https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.241242412122 Apr 2026 07:27 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mk2xv4ruys2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3miiv3gx2kc2gIncredible work by Jonathan Pekar et al.: The emergence and molecular evolution of H5N1 influenza viruses in United States dairy cattle https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.03.30.713641v102 Apr 2026 09:24 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3miiv3gx2kc2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mgced46rbk2wBiosecurity depends critically on the early identification of novel pathogens. Our international team developed a global multi-scale model of infectious diseases to evaluate the time to detection in aircraft wastewater vs. other surveillance modalities. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.02.27.26347250v1.full-text05 Mar 2026 08:17 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mgced46rbk2whttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mfkf6sp57222Interested in developing benchmarks for infectious disease modeling? We are recruiting a fellow @psioxford.bsky.social funded by Google Research and the Health AI team. Bonus: collaborations between the AI teams at Google Research and DeepMind. Deadline March 16. https://my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecruit/erq_jobspec_version_4.display_form?p_company=10&p_internal_external=E&p_display_in_irish=N&p_process_type=&p_applicant_no=&p_form_profile_detail=&p_display_apply_ind=Y&p_refresh_search=Y&p_recruitment_id=18491523 Feb 2026 19:29 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mfkf6sp57222https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3meg42sdhkk25Non-Linear Drivers of Population Dynamics: a Nonparametric Coalescent Approach arxiv.org/abs/2602.06148 https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.0614809 Feb 2026 09:10 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3meg42sdhkk25https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mdunwn2ukk2bFrequent presymptomatic household transmission of influenza A but not influenza B virus https://www.nature.com/articles/s44360-025-00049-y02 Feb 2026 10:42 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdunwn2ukk2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3mdis6gwvps2jProjected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-10015-z28 Jan 2026 17:26 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3mdis6gwvps2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3md64t7ftls2aCan H5N1 avian influenza in dairy cattle be contained in the US? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S009286742501483724 Jan 2026 11:37 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3md64t7ftls2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3ma2a6w4ox22uIf you want to learn about viral sequencing and real-time analysis from the absolute best, consider applying here: https://artic.network/workshops/accra_march_2026 Application deadline 10 January 2026: https://survey.ug.edu.gh/surveys/?s=W3H8F478PNJ7RXW415 Dec 2025 18:11 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ma2a6w4ox22uhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3m736zg23kk23The revision of this work has now been approved: https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/10-467 [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Dec 2025 09:57 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3m736zg23kk23https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3m5bgkuibt22aNorthward expansion of Aedes albopictus-associated arbovirus transmission risk in Europe https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(25)00256-6/fulltext10 Nov 2025 10:38 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3m5bgkuibt22ahttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3m4vb2szpzk2qMulti-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.241870 Brilliant work by @cathalmills.bsky.social + many others05 Nov 2025 14:28 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3m4vb2szpzk2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3m2vxt6fln22mFrom January to 8 October 2025, France (n = 700) and Italy (n = 353) have reported CHIKV cases widely across their territories. The increase in clusters coincides with global outbreaks and temperature anomalies in Europe. Active clusters shown here: https://gis.ecdc.europa.eu/portal/apps/experiencebuilder/experience/?id=fa51f70c1f85475dbe29d20119d1b11d11 Oct 2025 10:24 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2vxt6fln22mhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3m2ohlonkjc2tThe role of climate variability in shaping the 2023/24 outbreak of Dengue in Brazil (📉 in north regions; 📈 in southern populous regions). Brazil recorded the largest outbreak on record which coincided with the warmest ever reported temperatures in the Americas. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.10.06.25337235v108 Oct 2025 10:45 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3m2ohlonkjc2thttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3lyuctnznsk2aChikungunya outbreak in northern Italy (Modena, Carpi, San Prospero, Concordia sulla Secchia, and Soliera) with over 104 detected and confirmed autochthonous transmissions: https://www.ausl.mo.it/chikungunya-continuano-i-prelievi-ad-accesso-libero-a-carpi-oltre-140-le-persone-che-si-sono-presentate-per-effettuare-il-test/15 Sep 2025 07:46 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3lyuctnznsk2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3lykg5wk7es2r382 locally acquired cases of chikungunya in France in 2025 alone. Total of just under 1000 imported cases from outbreaks abroad. https://www.santepubliquefrance.fr/maladies-et-traumatismes/maladies-a-transmission-vectorielle/chikungunya/documents/bulletin-national/chikungunya-dengue-zika-et-west-nile-en-france-hexagonale.-bulletin-de-la-surveillance-renforcee-du-10-septembre-202511 Sep 2025 09:19 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3lykg5wk7es2rhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3lyibkggjns2cMosquito-borne viruses surge in a warming Europe https://www.science.org/content/article/mosquito-borne-viruses-surge-warming-europe10 Sep 2025 12:51 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3lyibkggjns2chttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3ly37ryxml222Dengue disease severity in humans is augmented by waning Japanese encephalitis virus immunity https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/scitranslmed.ads957205 Sep 2025 08:15 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ly37ryxml222https://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3ly2uovynuc2vLikely a new spillover causing the Ebola outbreak in the DRC: https://virological.org/t/the-16th-ebola-virus-disease-outbreak-in-bulape-health-zone-kasai-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-a-new-spillover-event-from-an-unknown-reservoir-host/100305 Sep 2025 04:56 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ly2uovynuc2vhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3lxtnjq6t3k2eClimate-sensitive disease data integration has been challenging due to variations in spatial & temporal resolution of inputs as well as multi-modality (satellite imagery, tabular, genomic..). We built a tool to makes it easier to perform data integration: https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/10-46702 Sep 2025 07:59 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3lxtnjq6t3k2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3lv6mlh6ir22xA systematic nomenclature for mpox viruses causing outbreaks with sustained human-to-human transmission https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-025-03820-630 Jul 2025 12:26 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3lv6mlh6ir22xhttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3ltwbfnayr22tProbable autochthonous case of chikungunya reported in northern Italy: https://www.ausl.pc.it/it/comunicazioni-ed-eventi/news/confermato-un-caso-probabilmente-autoctono-di-chikungunya#:~:text=Oggi%20(13%20luglio%202025)%20%C3%A8,febbre%2C%20dolori%20osteomuscolari%20e%20congiuntivite14 Jul 2025 11:20 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ltwbfnayr22thttps://bsky.app/profile/mugkraemer.bsky.social/post/3ltok2q6n4s2iNow peer-reviewed and approved. [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 Jul 2025 09:33 +0000at://did:plc:udyxktleyqnyss6mfto7r2a5/app.bsky.feed.post/3ltok2q6n4s2i