Senior Research Fellow at Chatham House. Research, analysis, and the occasional joke on the Middle East.https://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.social/post/3lsipuncpec27Iraq has mostly stayed out of the regional conflict. But that stability now looks fragile. My take on what’s at stake 👇 [contains quote post or other embedded content]26 Jun 2025 08:36 +0000at://did:plc:xdrgpfxdsvdvuwilfk6pyndt/app.bsky.feed.post/3lsipuncpec27https://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.social/post/3ls7osdgtws2mTo the war cheerleaders who believe military escalation will bring clear, positive endgames for Iran/the region; if Iraq and Afghanistan didn’t teach you, history has a few more lessons. A timely episode on The History of Bad Ideas: 'The Decisive Battle' https://www.ppfideas.com/episodes/the-history-of-bad-ideas%3A-the-decisive-battle22 Jun 2025 18:23 +0000at://did:plc:xdrgpfxdsvdvuwilfk6pyndt/app.bsky.feed.post/3ls7osdgtws2mhttps://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.social/post/3lrfe3stci22uWhy does peacebuilding keep failing? Because it wasn’t built for today’s conflict economies. We trace how gold from Sudan, fuel from Iran and migrant smuggling via Libya connect profit-driven conflicts across the Middle East & Africa. Our @ChathamHouse report:🧵👇 [contains quote post or other embedded content]12 Jun 2025 07:02 +0000at://did:plc:xdrgpfxdsvdvuwilfk6pyndt/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrfe3stci22uhttps://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.social/post/3lrcwh2qfmk25Join us tomorrow at Chatham House for the launch of our latest paper on conflict economies in the Middle East and Africa, exploring why today’s conflicts are more protracted and harder to resolve. Register to attend in person here 👇 [contains quote post or other embedded content]11 Jun 2025 07:52 +0000at://did:plc:xdrgpfxdsvdvuwilfk6pyndt/app.bsky.feed.post/3lrcwh2qfmk25https://bsky.app/profile/renadmansour.bsky.social/post/3lb7mkyckgs2oIn response to Hamas’s Oct 7 attack, Israel launched a regional war to reshape the Middle East. But the groups it now takes on, with their deep state connections and transnational ties, have shown previously that they can adapt to shocks. My piece on why that matters now. [contains quote post or other embedded content]18 Nov 2024 09:35 +0000at://did:plc:xdrgpfxdsvdvuwilfk6pyndt/app.bsky.feed.post/3lb7mkyckgs2o