Social protection evidence & practice; weekly newsletter: www.ugogentilini.net; new book: “Timely Cash: Lessons From 2,500 Years of Giving People Money” https://academic.oup.com/book/58850.https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lpcaxwu3gk2lGreat #TimelyCash events last week: beyond grateful to @politicaleconhub.bsky.social ‬@stcatharines.bsky.social @blavatnikschool.bsky.social @gamblingondev.bsky.social & @odi.global for the extraordinary hospitality & opportunity to discuss 2500 years of #cashtransfers! academic.oup.com/book/5885016 May 2025 14:38 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lpcaxwu3gk2lhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lmk7d6xods22A #basicincome pilot in #Germany provided 100+ young people (21-40 yrs), and already earning €1100-2600, with an extra €1200/month for 3 years (2021-24). Results: people keep working and study even more (plus higher wellbeing in various dimensions). www.pilotprojekt-grundeinkommen.de/en/labour11 Apr 2025 14:14 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lmk7d6xods22https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lhgbodl52c2bCash saves lives: Alaskan universal #cashtransfers (mildly) increase the odds that male twins survive gestation due to reduced mothers' economic insecurity. Singh et al https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/twin-research-and-human-genetics/article/male-twin-live-births-following-unconditional-cash-transfers-in-alaska-a-timeseries-analysis/C564114642BA26CDFBC67695A9D1037605 Feb 2025 09:39 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhgbodl52c2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lhcj32z5kk2212 years on, the effects of a cash grant ($380/person) in #Uganda are alive and kicking... earnings among beneficiaries are 22% higher, but only among men. Fiala et al https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030438782400196203 Feb 2025 21:41 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhcj32z5kk22https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lhcinrvn2k22In #NewZealand, #cashtransfers of $37/week to mothers with children aged 0-1 reduced the odds of child abuse/neglect by 19% (and 26% among those with past child protective service records). Moullin and Milne https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014521342500015803 Feb 2025 21:34 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lhcinrvn2k22https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lgef46epts2hExciting #TimelyCash book tour coming up! What are we learning from 2500 years of #cashtransfers history? If you are in the UK, join the conversation and meet me at one of these upcoming events: - Monday Feb 3 at 12:00-13:00 hosted by ODI in London: https://odi.org/en/events/in-conversation-with-ugo-gentilini-cash-transfers-past-present-and-future/ 1/322 Jan 2025 22:10 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lgef46epts2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lfxzhl4uwk2bCheck out what happened this week on #socialprotection around the world, all in a handy blog: https://www.ugogentilini.net/links-jan-17-the-effects-of-a-social-assistance-reform-in-germany-two-papers-on-egypts-tkp-scheme-the-evolving-nature-of-south-africas-public-employment-programs-a-new-generatio/18 Jan 2025 00:10 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lfxzhl4uwk2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lew3xujlwk272 papers on #cashtransfers (TKP) in #Egypt! - TKP didn’t bolster consumption, but increased assets + reduced debt (Karachiwalla et al https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/5cfb8bd3-9aab-4343-a518-11e9416bdcdc/content) - only 32% would opt to leave TKP to join the Forsa economic inclusion program (Allen et al https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/4f9d4dd1-0c8e-4f6e-b4e8-943898a9efad/content)04 Jan 2025 12:24 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lew3xujlwk27https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3leuuoi6pac2fAnother big study on life-saving effects of #cashtransfers. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03381-004 Jan 2025 00:41 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3leuuoi6pac2fhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lepv5cv3u22pHow research is designed matters — it’s the door through which results head out, but potentially also the window for ideology to sneak in. www.nber.org/papers/w3327402 Jan 2025 01:06 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lepv5cv3u22phttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3leosibrxw22pWhich country has the longest tradition of *experimental* #cashtransfers evidence? Hint: it’s not a low/middle income country. Like in the 1960-70s, the US is a powerhouse of pilots. (Past: https://eml.berkeley.edu/~saez/course/Munnell(1986)book.pdf Present: https://jainfamilyinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Guaranteed-Income-Pilot-Report-Jack-Landry-12.9.24.pdf)01 Jan 2025 14:46 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3leosibrxw22phttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3len5zuq5p224New article from #Nigeria suggests that #cashtransfers to women increase their demand for agency “secretly” — that is, they do not “change the intra-household balance of power enough to allow them to express it publicly”. Bakhtiar et al https://academic.oup.com/ej/advance-article/doi/10.1093/ej/ueae117/7929890?login=true31 Dec 2024 23:07 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3len5zuq5p224https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3le7nz4oui22eTakeaways on #cashtransfers and fertility in high-income countries: 1. Child benefits (on # children) ≠ baby bonus (on birth) 2. Mixed effects 3. Impact magnitude "tends to be small (if any)". Gauthier and Gietel-Basten https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/padr.1269126 Dec 2024 14:16 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3le7nz4oui22ehttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3le7nggzbwc2e#humanitarian "value for money"? “That greater cost efficiency is likely to be correlated with greater program scale... runs contrary to practice... where lower budgets are seen as an impetus for cost squeezing [and] higher value for money.” Tulloch et al https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/dpr.1282126 Dec 2024 14:06 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3le7nggzbwc2ehttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3le7koflj3s2i“In nearly half of the 7,821 assessments analysed, [social workers] indicated that both an approval and a denial decision were possible.” Insightful analysis from #Sweden illuminates the relationship between human judgment and means testing. Hussenius et al https://doi.org/10.1332/27551768Y2024D00000002626 Dec 2024 13:16 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3le7koflj3s2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldrdu4alyc2yCan a "big push" program help conflict-affected households in Somalia? Yup... (p.s. big push = cash (9 months) + asset or TVET training + coaching + financial literacy + business facilitation + savings groups + disaster risk training) @kallehi.bsky.social et al https://www.ifpri.org/blog/graduation-from-poverty-can-a-big-push-program-help-conflict-affected-households-evidence-from-somalia/20 Dec 2024 21:37 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldrdu4alyc2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldrbq6htnk2aThe weekly links are wrapping up the year by featuring the top 100 #socialprotection papers of 2024, enjoy! https://www.ugogentilini.net/links-dec-20-special-edition-with-suggested-readings-of-2024-part-ii/20 Dec 2024 20:59 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldrbq6htnk2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldn4uxuyys2zInsightful paper comparing the politics of #socialprotection in China, India and Turkey. Roy et al: https://www.ippjournal.org/uploads/1/3/6/5/136597491/politics_of_the_poor_and_social_protection_in_emerging_asia.pdf19 Dec 2024 05:22 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldn4uxuyys2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldmgd33j6k26Warning from #Sweden: automation of select administrative functions of #cashtransfers “… does not inherently lead to… faster and fairer eligibility [nor] a more client-centered approach in social assistance casework”. Germundsson et al https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/2156857X.2024.244072018 Dec 2024 22:38 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldmgd33j6k26https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldexgibti22hHow do women feel about #socialprotection in the OECD? New study finds that “… women are far less confident than men in their ability to access adequate benefits and services when they need them, both in working age and old age”. Frey et al https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2024/12/gendered-perceptions-of-social-protection-across-oecd-countries_a24e2e65/f3e002c2-en.pdf15 Dec 2024 23:23 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldexgibti22hhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldewqgzhy22h15 years of lessons from #Ethiopia’s PSNP, all in one great paper! Hoddinott et al https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp2024-76-securing-food-building-livelihoods.pdf15 Dec 2024 23:10 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldewqgzhy22hhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3ldcvh5u4ps2hNew systematic lit review looks at #cashtransfers and other social assistance programs through a crisis lens in #Africa. Hirvonen et al https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp2024-79-role-social-assistance-African-crises.pdf15 Dec 2024 03:42 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ldcvh5u4ps2hhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lda3oamkwk2bCheck out Part-I of a special edition of the weekly #socialprotection links, where 23 great minds share their suggested readings of 2024! https://www.ugogentilini.net/links-dec-13-special-edition-with-suggested-readings-of-2024-part-i/14 Dec 2024 00:55 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lda3oamkwk2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcw4i6hoc22eNew Lancet article on universal #cashtransfers for children: "universal child cash benefits should be at the forefront of the broader economic policy portfolio as an investment in a nation's health, sustainability, and global competitiveness". Shaefer et al https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(24)02366-3/fulltext10 Dec 2024 01:43 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcw4i6hoc22ehttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcobvltnsk2gBoom! #socialprotection helps but it is *not* enough. "... in most countries in Africa, poverty rates increase after fiscal interventions, even in high- and middle-income countries, more so than [in contexts] with similar levels of development". Sinha et al (eds) https://www.worldbank.org/en/region/afr/publication/leveling-the-playing-field06 Dec 2024 22:59 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcobvltnsk2ghttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcnx2qywrk24After various working paper versions, the big review on #socialprotection in low and middle income countries by Banerjee et al is now available in journal (JEP) form. Super neat! https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jel.2024164606 Dec 2024 19:45 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcnx2qywrk24https://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lciepunves2dInteresting assessment of #Spain's food procurement for #schoolmeals and social care centers. Gaitán-Cremaschi and Valbuena https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919224001532#f001004 Dec 2024 14:33 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lciepunves2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcfy3mdwvc2yGot 30 minutes & looking for a podcast? Here is the deal — check out what happened with #cashtransfers over the past 2500 years! Tune in for a converation with the great Tim Phillips about my book #TimelyCash out today: lnkd.in/eHttxJKR Thanks for having me @voxdev.bsky.social, it was lot of fun. [contains quote post or other embedded content]03 Dec 2024 15:42 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcfy3mdwvc2yhttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcawaqnsds2aDo child tax credits work? “Overwhelmingly, [they] have positive impacts on children for a host of different outcomes, including infant birthweight, childhood health and achievement, educational attainment, wages, and poverty in adulthood”. Michelmore https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/1475-5890.1239601 Dec 2024 15:26 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcawaqnsds2ahttps://bsky.app/profile/ugentilini.bsky.social/post/3lcarfbeqvc2aGreat review of active labor market policies and public implement services in LAC is out! Instead of asking if ALMPs/PES work or not, identify “… what aspects of program design, selection and contextual integration increase or decrease effectiveness”. Nunn: https://publications.iadb.org/en/how-effective-are-active-labour-market-policies-and-public-employment-services-lessons-latin01 Dec 2024 13:59 +0000at://did:plc:xxpuefkauexeaovpcfv5rxlu/app.bsky.feed.post/3lcarfbeqvc2a