Confused PhD student in psychology at Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm. GAD, ICBT, mechanisms of change. Organizing the ReproducibiliTea JC at KI. Website: https://vilgot-huhn.github.io/mywebsite/ Personal blog at unconfusion.substack.comhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.socialhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwy5p7ajbk2iMy career plan B is to just take cognitive therapy, replace the words schema/beliefs with the words model/priors, and sell it as a revolutionary new thing. Sprinkle in some neuroscience. I’m talking workshops, certificates, maybe even an institute. ”Bayesian Brain Therapy”03 Oct 2026 15:00 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwy5p7ajbk2ihttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwq6bresrk2wI guess my ambivalent feeling can most clearly be described as "anti-pro-AI". More than anything, I do not relate to people who feel no sense of dread, or at least resistance to change. But that doesn't mean I think no one should use the useful little guy in the computer. [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Sep 2026 10:49 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwq6bresrk2whttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwpyswemnc2pIdea: machine learning model based on guessthecorrelation.com where human estimates are ground truth [contains quote post or other embedded content]30 Sep 2026 09:12 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwpyswemnc2phttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwpydq2lc22mYour Fallible Human Eyes Are Not Better At Detecting Correlation Than OLS30 Sep 2026 09:03 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwpydq2lc22mhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwnj5hdt2s2bThe thing about RM-ANOVA is that it seems somehow *more* difficult to use than mixed models while also being all around worse? Am I missing something here?29 Sep 2026 09:26 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwnj5hdt2s2bhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwm2hwcrn22wman I hope the real treasure isnt the friends we made along the way because AI is getting very effective at skipping past the journey28 Sep 2026 19:31 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwm2hwcrn22whttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwjgwmcdhs2wObviously I'm not a very expert LLM user (at least these last few months) because just based on chatting/small tasks Opus 5.5 is like Opus 5. I can't tell the difference. I've seen the demonstrations. Super intimidating. But day to day for me it's the same chatbot as yesterday.27 Sep 2026 18:36 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwjgwmcdhs2whttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mwax7zg7as2tWith AI I'm constantly cycling between: 1. This tool is amazing! Claude is such a useful little guy. 2. This is monstrous! The death of art. Death of purpose. Get me of this wild ride. I hate this. 3. The fact that LLMs work this well is just deeply fascinating and bizarre and I need to know more.24 Sep 2026 09:33 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mwax7zg7as2thttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mw63kliudc2dWait, Adam Sandler’s Click (2006) was prophetic? I hate this timeline. [contains quote post or other embedded content]23 Sep 2026 06:13 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mw63kliudc2dhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mvxjvdkxmc2pThey should do an obnoxiousness benchmark because the Opus models have been getting gradually worse on that. It constantly injects extra assumptions about what you mean and then counter those assumptions in an overly verbose way. Anthropomorphising. it comes of as "full of itself"20 Sep 2026 15:41 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mvxjvdkxmc2phttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mvxbp3adks2qPreparing a lecture/seminar on behavioral analysis for undergraduates. When I took the course I remember I got quite preoccupied on whether behaviorism as a philosophy/paradigm could offer a complete description of human behavior. Missing the trees for the forest: It's clinically extremely useful.20 Sep 2026 13:14 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mvxbp3adks2qhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mvk4v4w6jk22Trumps AI/EA comments: has reaffirmed for me that "woke" now just mean "anything that includes moral concern about others". MAGA world seems to be caught up in a weird psychodrama where anyone who demands moral action are inherently bad. (bad how? morally?)15 Sep 2026 07:43 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mvk4v4w6jk22https://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mv5uhoxsxc23I don’t agree with the AI doomers but I also don’t mind them being around. Almost certainly Claude will not kill us but I do sleep a bit more soundly imagining that if It Begins 1000 off-grid lesswrong sleepers will emerge to switch it off.10 Sep 2026 10:41 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mv5uhoxsxc23https://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mun7okulvk2cHappy that someone points out that ”aphantasia” isn’t a newly discovered thing. I swear I’ve seen so many examples where it’s claimed that this was barely discussed before 2015 but I swear my 2013 textbook in cognition talked about Galton researching it a hundred years ago. https://youtu.be/UyBikVRPh6c?is=FkSB80fu3qd8c3xI03 Sep 2026 19:46 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mun7okulvk2chttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mu55e4n3lk2kI often pass by a café that has as decoration a big screen TV with an uncanny AI video of a more idyllic Paris café and I feel dizzy trying to count the level of simulacra here28 Aug 2026 10:22 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mu55e4n3lk2khttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mu4sor6les2jOne perk with being a toddler dad is that I finally have an excuse to be this tired.28 Aug 2026 07:11 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mu4sor6les2jhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mtso4tkhts2z”The person vs situation debate” is just such a wild broad-strokes way to frame psychology that I kinda love it24 Aug 2026 06:23 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtso4tkhts2zhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mtjj3d7cis2xIt's really cool about those London taxi drivers and violinists but I've come to hate the word "neuroplasticity" because by now my first association is superfluous science sprinkles on the well known fact that "people learn things".20 Aug 2026 14:59 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtjj3d7cis2xhttps://bsky.app/profile/vilgothuhn.bsky.social/post/3mtetwaxdpc24There’s a type of academic elitism where the premise is that only niche academic experts can understand certain subjects. Obviously there’s some truth to that, but imo it sometimes becomes a kind of anti-intellectualism, weirdly. Like it’s suspect to read outside ones area.18 Aug 2026 18:29 +0000at://did:plc:zjexvlibibt2unxiphg4m425/app.bsky.feed.post/3mtetwaxdpc24