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Dr Ryan MacDonald
distantworlds.space
did:plc:hfr6vsgysggqew64kpowxwvb
The press release says there is a 0.3% false probability.
This comes from a mistranslation of Bayesian to frequentist statistics.
If you take the Bayes factor considering the 'maximal' set of molecules from the paper, the probability of no DMS and DMDS (1/(1+B)) is actually 27.6%.
So close to 1σ.
2025-04-17T16:08:01.818Z