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Zeke Hausfather
hausfath.bsky.social
did:plc:r5ofoghdcbtjqiujqpvja4uh
With the first four months of the year now available, I estimate that 2025 is most likely to be the second warmest year on record at 1.52C in ERA5, with a ~8% chance of beating 2024 as the warmest and a ~25% chance of coming in at the third warmest after 2023:
2025-05-05T20:05:11.681Z