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Leo Bastos
leosbastos.bsky.social
did:plc:nwiz7x2i4fml3ofig4lplyby
NEW PAPER
We developed a statistical model to forecast dengue cases for the next season using the history of cases only. We suggest using the posterior predictive to define epidemics bands.
For instance, we could see how huge was 2024 dengue season in Brazil.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042725000739
2025-09-04T18:37:06.130Z