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Michael Kofman
michaelkofman.bsky.social
did:plc:4bk4vtgddvt7vcg2aahesh5e
Assad seems finished. An Iranian intervention is not forthcoming. Russia is also running out of options. They may try to cut a deal to keep bases, which are key to operations in MENA. I suspect it will end up as either a panicked evacuation, or a negotiated withdrawal given how things are trending.
2024-12-07T01:17:49.958Z