This is a heavily interactive web application, and JavaScript is required. Simple HTML interfaces are possible, but that is not what this is.
Post
Scott McGrath
smcgrath.phd
did:plc:lrzkd5exmxqrblbruvjieofj
🧪 Kalshi is now selling contracts on clinical trial outcomes.
The pitch is that markets aggregate dispersed knowledge to better predict success.
The people holding that knowledge are the ones running the trial.
This is a really bad idea 🧵
#MedSky
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-16/kalshi-launches-platform-for-bets-on-biotech-trials-drug-approvals?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc4NDIwMzYwNiwiZXhwIjoxNzg0ODA4NDA2LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUSFhBRDZLSzNOWTgwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiJDQjhERDAxRjBGMEU0MkE1QkUyREM4NEU5MUUyRDAwRSJ9.uKgT498A7dtTuo1Pwabc8TFvEKIVcfMJxwhca72r270&leadSource=article-gifting
2026-07-17T12:54:35.276Z