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stephen fowler
stphnfwlr.com
did:plc:uk7lwo2kembqgxlb7f2qi2bq
Over the last five election cycles polls of likely voters have typically leaned more Republican than polls of registered voters or all U.S. adults.
But data on likely voter turnout in 2026 points the other direction.
https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-22-midterm-enthusiasm-gap-july-poll
2026-07-23T19:02:34.468Z