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Thomas Fuchs 🫯
thomasfuchs.at
did:plc:tbo4hkau3p2itkar2vsnb3gp
Paper here: arxiv.org/abs/2512.09643
tl;dr If there's an event that makes collision avoidance maneuvers temporarily not possible (e.g. major solar storm, SpaceX shutting down or maybe a software hack or bug) a collision is likely after less than 3 days. (In 2018 it was 4 months.)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.09643
2025-12-11T14:37:19.634Z